FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: M. Roth
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
AC Oulu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
62'
K. Jatta ↔ L. Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
62'
O. Kemppainen ↔ S. Sipola
AC Oulu
🔄
67'
J. Niska ↔ A. Granlund
Inter Turku
🔄
67'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ J. Laine
Inter Turku
🔄
80'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
80'
J. Tuominen ↔ I. Jarvinen
Inter Turku
🔄
80'
R. Karjalainen ↔ N. Jokelainen
AC Oulu
🔄
80'
J. Paananen ↔ J. Makelainen
AC Oulu
🟨
82'
Albin Granlund
Inter Turku
🟨
84'
Sami Sipola
AC Oulu
🔄
88'
L. Essomba ↔ H. Salomaa
Inter Turku
🟨
90+3'
Juuso Makelainen
AC Oulu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 61.9%
Draw 9.7%
AC Oulu Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.17
AC Oulu1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
20 GF / 13 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
20 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
2.18
Shots on Goal
1.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 15 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 12 matches
Inter Turku Statistic AC Oulu
9 Wins 8
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
20 Goals For 20
13 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
2.18 Shots On Goal 1.3
6.09 Total Shots 4.7
3.36 Corners 1.8
31.3% Ball Possession 18.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Turku expected to line up in 4-3-3 and AC Oulu in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Oulu having the stronger overall control.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 24 points from 11 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 17:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Conteh (5 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), J. Tuominen (2 goals), with creative support from C. Jephta (3 assists), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), L. Essomba (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

Placed 2 with 21 points from 10 outings, AC Oulu continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 16:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Karjalainen (7 goals), J. Korkko (4 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), L. Ghezali (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 6 times, AC Oulu won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Inter Turku's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-3-3 / AC Oulu 4-4-2
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 6, draws 4, AC Oulu wins 4

Lineups

Inter Turku
Formation
AC Oulu
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
J. Tauriainen
J. Tauriainen
I. Kangasniemi
I. Kangasniemi
L. Kuittinen
L. Kuittinen
J. Niska
J. Niska
J. Yli-Kokko
J. Yli-Kokko
P. Ahiabu
P. Ahiabu
J. Tuominen
J. Tuominen
L. Essomba
L. Essomba
A. Conteh
A. Conteh
C. Jephta
C. Jephta
M. Santos
M. Santos
O. Kemppainen
O. Kemppainen
A. Lietsa
A. Lietsa
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
J. Paananen
J. Paananen
K. Jatta
K. Jatta
T. Kaukua
T. Kaukua
R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
E. Kallio
E. Kallio
J. Korkko
J. Korkko
Inter Turku 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
24
J. Tauriainen
D
21
I. Kangasniemi
22
L. Kuittinen
D
2
J. Niska
↓ 67'
D
8
J. Yli-Kokko
↓ 67'
M
4
P. Ahiabu
M
9
J. Tuominen
↓ 80'
F
23
L. Essomba
↓ 88'
10
A. Conteh
↓ 80'
16
C. Jephta
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
5
A. Granlund
↑ 67' 🟨 82'
D
14
J. Laine
↑ 67'
M
25
H. Salomaa
↑ 88'
M
11
J. Botue
↑ 80'
F
3
J. Hamalainen
D
19
I. Jarvinen
↑ 80'
M
27
V. Ulundu
M
17
B. Ampofo
M
AC Oulu 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
M. Santos
G
16
O. Kemppainen
↓ 62'
D
3
A. Lietsa
D
21
I. Mendolin
M
66
J. Pirinen
D
6
J. Paananen
↓ 80'
M
20
K. Jatta
↓ 62'
F
22
T. Kaukua
M
7
R. Karjalainen
↓ 80'
M
27
E. Kallio
M
26
J. Korkko
F
Substitutes
99
N. Schulz
G
64
T. Backman
G
14
N. Jokelainen
↑ 80'
M
29
S. Silander
D
30
J. Makelainen
↑ 80' 🟨 90+3'
M
8
M. Ojala
M
11
L. Ghezali
↑ 62'
M
2
S. Sipola
↑ 62' 🟨 84'
D
18
A. Cassama
D
Last matches: Inter Turku
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
18.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
W
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H: Inter Turku vs AC Oulu
13.06.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
08.08.25
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
4
W
24.09.24
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
0
L
10.08.24
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
0
L
12.04.24
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
3
D
03.09.23
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
1
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
4
0
W
14.08.21
H2H
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
2
0
L
Last matches: Inter Turku
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
H2H at home: Inter Turku
13.06.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
08.08.25
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
2
W
12.04.24
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
3
D
03.09.23
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
09.04.22
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
4
0
W
Last matches: AC Oulu
23.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
SJK
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
H2H away: AC Oulu
13.06.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
L
08.08.25
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
2
L
12.04.24
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
3
D
03.09.23
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
L
09.04.22
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
2
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
4
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 12 8 1 3 18:9 9 25
W D W W W
3 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6 11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8 12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)