Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Inter Miami
21 matches
Chicago Fire
20 matches
| Inter Miami | Statistic | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 46 | Goals For | 36 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 2.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.53 | Shots On Goal | 5.21 |
| 15.53 | Total Shots | 14.86 |
| 5.59 | Corners | 4.57 |
| 57.9% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chicago Fire in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Inter Miami come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Inter Miami approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 31 points after 15 outings. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Messi (12 goals), G. Berterame (7 goals), L. Suarez (6 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (7 assists), T. Segovia (6 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 14 outings. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 27:16, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Cuypers (13 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (4 assists), J. Bamba (2 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Inter Miami's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Inter Miami
7
4
5
9
2
2
Lineups
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Austin
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
DC United
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Austin
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Inter Miami
Home
|
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 13 | 37 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
Away
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | -1 | 23 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | -11 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 22 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | -16 | 20 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 16 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 15 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | -13 | 12 |
L
D
L
L
D
|