🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Nu Stadium
Referee: R. Vazquez
Inter Miami
Match Timeline
Chicago Fire
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
R. Rios
Chicago Fire
27'
L. Suarez
Inter Miami
51'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
🔄
62'
R. Lewandowski ↔ R. Lod
Chicago Fire
🔄
63'
D. D'Avilla ↔ M. Pineda
Chicago Fire
🔄
63'
P. Zinckernagel ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🟨
64'
Jack Elliott
Chicago Fire
67'
P. Dithejane · Assist: M. Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🔄
69'
D. Ruiz ↔ P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
🔄
74'
M. Silvetti ↔ D. Pinter
Inter Miami
🔄
85'
I. Fray ↔ N. Allen
Inter Miami
87'
P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
🔄
88'
M. Haile-Selassie ↔ J. Shokalook
Chicago Fire
🔄
88'
A. Gutman ↔ V. Radojevic
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+7'
Sergio Reguilón
Inter Miami

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 45%
Draw 4.2%
Chicago Fire Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.79
Chicago Fire1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
46 GF / 36 GA
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
13
6.53
Shots on Goal
5.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 21 matches
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 20 matches
Inter Miami Statistic Chicago Fire
11 Wins 10
7 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
46 Goals For 36
36 Goals Against 24
2.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 3
6.53 Shots On Goal 5.21
15.53 Total Shots 14.86
5.59 Corners 4.57
57.9% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chicago Fire in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Inter Miami come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 31 points after 15 outings. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Messi (12 goals), G. Berterame (7 goals), L. Suarez (6 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (7 assists), T. Segovia (6 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 14 outings. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 27:16, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Cuypers (13 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (4 assists), J. Bamba (2 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 4 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Inter Miami's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 4-3-3 / Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 4, draws 2, Chicago Fire wins 5
Stats
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 4
8 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 12
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
507 Total passes 454
436 Passes accurate 382
2.11 expected_goals 1.90
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Inter Miami
Formation
Chicago Fire
R. Rios
R. Rios
F. Mura
F. Mura
I. Fray
I. Fray
Micael
Micael
S. Reguilon
S. Reguilon
D. Ruiz
D. Ruiz
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
M. Silvetti
M. Silvetti
G. Berterame
🎯
G. Berterame
L. Suarez
⚽ 2
L. Suarez
C. Brady
C. Brady
J. Dean
J. Dean
J. Waterman
J. Waterman
J. Elliott
J. Elliott
A. Gutman
A. Gutman
P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel
D. D'Avilla
D. D'Avilla
A. Saletros
A. Saletros
J. Bamba
J. Bamba
M. Haile-Selassie
🎯
M. Haile-Selassie
R. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
Inter Miami 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
R. Rios
⚽ 18'
G
4
F. Mura
D
17
I. Fray
↓ 85'
D
16
Micael
D
3
S. Reguilon
🟨 90+7'
D
41
D. Ruiz
↓ 69'
M
42
Y. Bright
M
8
T. Segovia
M
24
M. Silvetti
↓ 74'
M
19
G. Berterame
🎯 51'
F
9
L. Suarez
⚽ 27' ⚽ 51'
F
Substitutes
97
D. St.Clair
G
76
C. Abadia-Reda
D
56
D. Pinter
↑ 74'
F
32
N. Allen
↑ 85'
D
55
I. Urkidi
M
70
D. Sumalla
D
52
D. Rey
F
59
P. Plambeck
⚽ 87' ↑ 69'
M
Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. Brady
G
24
J. Dean
D
16
J. Waterman
D
3
J. Elliott
🟨 64'
D
15
A. Gutman
↓ 88'
D
11
P. Zinckernagel
↓ 63'
M
42
D. D'Avilla
↓ 63'
M
6
A. Saletros
M
19
J. Bamba
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
🎯 67' ↓ 88'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
44
J. Cohen
G
5
S. Rogers
D
22
M. Pineda
↑ 63'
D
20
J. Shokalook
↑ 88'
F
2
L. Barroso
D
17
R. Lod
↑ 62'
M
14
V. Radojevic
↑ 88'
D
12
P. Dithejane
⚽ 67' ↑ 63'
F
35
S. Oregel
M
Last matches: Inter Miami
25.07.26
Maj
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
Last matches: Chicago Fire
25.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
1
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
H2H: Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
22.07.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
30.09.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
5
L
13.04.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
0
0
D
01.09.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
1
4
W
20.07.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
4
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
3
L
11.09.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
3
1
L
26.02.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
18.08.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
22.05.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
1
0
L
Last matches: Inter Miami
24.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Inter Miami
22.07.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
30.09.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
5
L
20.07.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
25.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
3
L
26.02.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
18.08.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
Last matches: Chicago Fire
25.07.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
1
3
L
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
H2H away: Chicago Fire
22.07.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
L
30.09.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
5
W
20.07.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
1
L
25.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
2
3
W
26.02.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
18.08.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 33:12 21 39
L W W W W
2 17 11 4 2 43:30 13 37
W W W W W
3 16 9 2 5 26:19 7 29
W D L W L
4 16 8 2 6 30:22 8 26
L L W W W
5 17 7 4 6 30:23 7 25
W W L D W
6 17 7 4 6 28:25 3 25
W D W W L
7 17 6 5 6 41:42 -1 23
L W W D L
8 17 6 4 7 26:37 -11 22
L L W D W
9 17 5 7 5 24:27 -3 22
W D D D L
10 17 6 2 9 28:44 -16 20
W W L D W
11 17 5 4 8 24:26 -2 19
W L W D L
12 17 3 7 7 23:31 -8 16
L D D L L
13 17 4 3 10 22:33 -11 15
L L D D L
14 17 3 4 10 22:31 -9 13
W W L D L
15 17 3 3 11 17:30 -13 12
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)