BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Inhumas
Match Timeline
Primavera MG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
Caique
Primavera MG
45'
T. Montefiori
Primavera MG

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inhumas Win 0%
Draw 41.7%
Primavera MG Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inhumas0.72
Primavera MG1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inhumas Inhumas
WWDLW
2 GF / 10 GA
Primavera MG Primavera MG
WLDWL
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inhumas Inhumas 5 matches
Primavera MG Primavera MG 5 matches
Inhumas Statistic Primavera MG
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
2 Goals For 5
10 Goals Against 6
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Primavera MG carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 5 points while Inhumas sit 6 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Primavera MG having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Primavera MG. Inhumas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Inhumas Analysis

With 0 points from 5 games and a place of 6, Inhumas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 2:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Primavera MG Analysis

Placed 5 with 5 points from 5 outings, Primavera MG continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Caique (3 goals), Giovanni (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Inhumas won 0 times, Primavera MG won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Inhumas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Inhumas wins 0, draws 0, Primavera MG wins 2
Last matches: Inhumas
07.06.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
0
4
L
31.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
L
Last matches: Primavera MG
07.06.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Gama
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Gama
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
1
D
H2H: Inhumas vs Primavera MG
09.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Primavera MG
Inhumas
2
0
L
Last matches: Inhumas
31.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
L
H2H at home: Inhumas
09.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
Last matches: Primavera MG
30.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Gama
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Luverdense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Primavera MG
Brasiliense
1
1
D
H2H away: Primavera MG
09.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
W

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)