BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Inhumas
Match Timeline
Aparecidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Raphael Luz
Aparecidense
45'
Alan Ferreira
Inhumas
🟥
55'
Aparecidense
Aparecidense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inhumas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aparecidense Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inhumas0.67
Aparecidense1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inhumas Inhumas
WWDLW
2 GF / 12 GA
Aparecidense Aparecidense
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inhumas Inhumas 6 matches
Aparecidense Aparecidense 6 matches
Inhumas Statistic Aparecidense
0 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 2
2 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 7
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
2 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Aparecidense's more proactive style and Inhumas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aparecidense. Inhumas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aparecidense having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aparecidense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while Inhumas sit 6 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Inhumas Analysis

Inhumas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 0 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 2:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aparecidense Analysis

Aparecidense approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 10 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Carlos Baje (3 goals), Ivan Junior (2 goals), Luan (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Inhumas won 0 times, Aparecidense won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Inhumas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: Inhumas wins 0, draws 3, Aparecidense wins 2
Last matches: Inhumas
07.06.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
0
4
L
31.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
L
Last matches: Aparecidense
27.06.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
0
4
L
20.06.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Gama
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Luverdense
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Inhumas
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Luverdense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Gama
0
2
L
23.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
0
2
L
17.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
3
2
W
09.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
02.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Mixto
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goianésia
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
7
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goiânia
3
0
W
H2H: Inhumas vs Aparecidense
17.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D
25.04.26
H2H
Aparecidense
Inhumas
3
1
L
18.01.26
H2H
Aparecidense
Inhumas
1
1
D
29.01.25
H2H
Aparecidense
Inhumas
1
1
D
25.01.23
H2H
Aparecidense
Inhumas
2
0
L
Last matches: Inhumas
31.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
L
H2H at home: Inhumas
17.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D
Last matches: Aparecidense
27.06.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
0
4
L
07.06.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Gama
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Luverdense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
3
1
W
17.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
3
2
W
02.08.25
Ser
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Mixto
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goiânia
3
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Luverdense
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
3
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
1
3
L
04.05.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Goianésia
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
H2H away: Aparecidense
17.05.26
H2H
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)