Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente
20 matches
Newells Old Boys
18 matches
| Independiente | Statistic | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 33 | Goals For | 16 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 10.29 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independiente's more proactive style and Newells Old Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Independiente arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 24 points compared to Newells Old Boys in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newells Old Boys. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 5 with 24 points from 16 outings, Independiente continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Ávalos (3 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 goals), Matías Abaldo (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 assists), Matías Abaldo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Newells Old Boys sit 14 with 15 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), Walter Mazzantti (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Jerónimo Gómez Mattar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 5 times, Newells Old Boys won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Independiente's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Newells Old Boys
Acassuso
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Platense
Newells Old Boys
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old Boys
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Newells Old Boys
Lanus
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Newells Old Boys
Away
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|