Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Independiente Win 0%
Draw 0%
Boca Juniors Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente1.16
Boca Juniors1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente
WWDLW
37 GF / 32 GA
Boca Juniors
WLDWL
43 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
14
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
11
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.48
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente
26 matches
Boca Juniors
34 matches
| Independiente | Statistic | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 15 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 37 | Goals For | 43 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.48 |
| 12.35 | Total Shots | 13.48 |
| 5.57 | Corners | 5.07 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 57.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 3 times, Boca Juniors won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Independiente's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Independiente 4-1-4-1 / Boca Juniors 4-3-3
H2H summary: Independiente wins 3, draws 7, Boca Juniors wins 4
Last matches: Independiente
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
17.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
3
1
W
12.08.26
Cop
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
0
4
L
09.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
03.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
Last matches: Boca Juniors
24.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
1
1
D
16.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Platense
1
1
D
08.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
05.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
26.07.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
0
3
L
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
H2H: Independiente vs Boca Juniors
11.04.26
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
20.05.25
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
0
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
0
0
D
29.07.23
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
08.01.23
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
0
0
D
23.10.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
2
2
D
27.02.22
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
25.11.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
29.03.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
2
L
05.04.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
27.01.20
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
0
0
D
02.12.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
15.04.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
04.06.17
H2H
Boca Juniors
Independiente
3
0
L
Last matches: Independiente
22.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
H2H at home: Independiente
29.07.23
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
2
L
27.02.22
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
25.11.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
29.03.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
2
L
05.04.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
02.12.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
15.04.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
Last matches: Boca Juniors
24.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
1
1
D
16.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Platense
1
1
D
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
26.07.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
0
3
L
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
29.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Boca Juniors
29.07.23
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
2
W
27.02.22
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
2
2
D
25.11.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
29.03.21
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
2
W
05.04.20
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
02.12.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
0
1
W
15.04.18
H2H
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
0
L
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
Away
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Home
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
Knockout Phase