WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
27.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Banco De Guayaquil
Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Enzo Copetti
Rosario Central
🟨
45+5'
Junior Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🟨
45+5'
Ángel Di María
Rosario Central
🔄
46'
Julián Fernández ↔ Enzo Giménez
Rosario Central
🔄
58'
Ángel Di María ↔ Pol Fernández
Rosario Central
64'
Junior Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🟨
66'
Pol Fernández
Rosario Central
🔄
79'
Vicente Pizarro ↔ Marco Rubén
Rosario Central
🔄
80'
Emerson Pata ↔ Matías Perello
Independiente del Valle
🔄
80'
Justin Lerma ↔ Ronald Briones
Independiente del Valle
🔄
80'
Jaminton Campaz ↔ Giovanni Cantizano
Rosario Central
🔄
82'
Mateo Carabajal ↔ Andy Velasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
89'
Emanuel Coronel ↔ Lisandro Duarte
Rosario Central
🟨
90+3'
Ignacio Ovando
Rosario Central
🔄
90'
Junior Sornoza ↔ Youri Ochoa
Independiente del Valle
🔄
90'
Arón Rodríguez ↔ Steven Gongora
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 55.3%
Draw 0%
Rosario Central Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.42
Rosario Central1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
39 GF / 24 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
36 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
5.85
Shots on Goal
5.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 21 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 25 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic Rosario Central
14 Wins 15
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
39 Goals For 36
24 Goals Against 19
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
11 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 6
5.85 Shots On Goal 5.21
18.9 Total Shots 14
6.9 Corners 4.58
59.5% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 1 times, Rosario Central won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 1, draws 1, Rosario Central wins 0

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W L W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:1 8 13
L W W W W
3 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
W L W L L
4 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals