ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: Robert Cabrera, Ecuador
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
Barcelona SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
E. Pata · Assist: J. Viacava
Independiente del Valle
🟨
30'
José Contreras
Barcelona SC
🟨
30'
Jhonnier Chalá
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
J. Wila ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
K. Caidedo ↔ H. Villalba
Barcelona SC
🔄
61'
B. Castillo ↔ T. Martinez
Barcelona SC
🟨
62'
Djorkaeff Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
62'
D. Guagua ↔ A. Rodriguez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
68'
W. J. Chala Rosales ↔ M. Parrales
Barcelona SC
🔄
69'
J. Espinoza ↔ D. A. Romero Padilla
Independiente del Valle
🔄
69'
D. Reasco ↔ C. Gonzalez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
74'
Y. Ochoa ↔ J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🔄
74'
J. Lerma ↔ R. Briones
Independiente del Valle
🟨
78'
Andy Velasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
88'
M. Celiz ↔ J. Gomez
Barcelona SC
🟨
90+4'
Miguel Parrales
Barcelona SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 73.2%
Draw 0%
Barcelona SC Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.39
Barcelona SC1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
29 GF / 20 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
23 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
9
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
8
5.69
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 17 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 24 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic Barcelona SC
11 Wins 10
2 Draws 7
4 Losses 7
29 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 22
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
9 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 6
5.69 Shots On Goal 3.85
18.75 Total Shots 12
6.56 Corners 3.85
59.3% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barcelona SC. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Barcelona SC in 3 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Independiente del Valle Analysis

Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 28 points after 12 outings. The return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 22:13, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Emerson Pata (4 goals), D. Reasco (3 goals), M. Perello (3 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), A. Rodriguez (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Placed 3 with 20 points from 12 outings, Barcelona SC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Benedetto (5 goals), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (2 goals), Jandry Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from D. Benedetto (2 assists), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (1 assists), Jandry Gomez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 8 times, Barcelona SC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Barcelona SC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 8, draws 4, Barcelona SC wins 3
Stats
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 3
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 3
10 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
392 Total passes 287
302 Passes accurate 200
1.32 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Independiente del Valle
Formation
Barcelona SC
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
J. Espinoza
J. Espinoza
A. Velasco
A. Velasco
J. Viacava
🎯
J. Viacava
G. Cortez
G. Cortez
J. Mendez
J. Mendez
D. Guagua
D. Guagua
J. Lerma
J. Lerma
Y. Ochoa
Y. Ochoa
E. Pata
E. Pata
D. Reasco
D. Reasco
J. Contreras
J. Contreras
B. Carabali
B. Carabali
J. Baez
J. Baez
W. J. Chala Rosales
W. J. Chala Rosales
J. Perlaza
J. Perlaza
M. Lugo
M. Lugo
B. Castillo
B. Castillo
M. Celiz
M. Celiz
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
K. Caidedo
K. Caidedo
J. Wila
J. Wila
Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Quintana
G
4
J. Espinoza
↓ 69'
D
33
A. Velasco
🟨 78'
D
23
J. Viacava
🎯 7'
D
15
G. Cortez
D
32
J. Mendez
M
55
D. Guagua
↓ 62'
53
J. Lerma
↓ 74'
8
Y. Ochoa
↓ 74'
M
31
E. Pata
⚽ 7'
M
99
D. Reasco
↓ 69' 🟨 62'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Bores
G
10
J. Sornoza
↑ 74'
M
17
A. Rodriguez
↑ 62'
F
16
R. Briones
↑ 74'
M
13
D. A. Romero Padilla
↑ 69'
D
19
L. Loor
D
20
A. Gomez
M
9
C. Gonzalez
↑ 69'
F
2
L. Zarate
D
6
J. Alcivar
M
11
M. Perello
F
50
J. Angulo
F
Barcelona SC 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Contreras
🟨 30'
G
18
B. Carabali
D
33
J. Baez
D
44
W. J. Chala Rosales
↓ 68' 🟨 30'
D
15
J. Perlaza
D
32
M. Lugo
M
26
B. Castillo
↓ 61'
M
8
M. Celiz
↓ 88'
M
28
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
M
63
K. Caidedo
↓ 46'
F
51
J. Wila
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cevallos
G
11
M. Parrales
↑ 68' 🟨 90+4'
F
23
T. Martinez
↑ 61'
M
35
J. Intriago
M
3
L. Sosa
D
5
C. Montano
M
27
W. Vargas
70
M. Mejia
↑ 46'
F
21
H. Villalba
↑ 46'
F
4
G. Vallecilla
D
12
J. Mina
D
7
J. Gomez
↑ 88'
M
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
08.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
09.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
27.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
22.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
H2H: Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona SC
10.05.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
3
W
06.07.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
02.04.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
1
0
L
09.03.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
W
10.08.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
3
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
19.08.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
13.03.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
2
0
L
30.08.21
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
02.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Independiente del Valle
10.05.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
3
1
W
19.03.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
30.08.21
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
22.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Barcelona SC
10.05.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
21.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
2
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
3
1
L
19.03.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
30.08.21
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 20 1 3 58:22 36 61
W W W W W
2 24 12 5 7 32:24 8 41
W W W W L
3 24 12 5 7 29:25 4 41
W W L L W
4 24 11 6 7 39:21 18 39
L W D W W
5 24 9 8 7 25:20 5 35
L D L L W
6 24 10 5 9 23:20 3 35
L W W D L
7 24 9 6 9 26:27 -1 33
W W W W L
8 24 8 8 8 24:25 -1 32
L D W D W
9 24 8 7 9 32:34 -2 31
W W L D W
10 24 9 4 11 22:30 -8 31
L L W L L
11 24 7 8 9 20:25 -5 29
D L D D W
12 24 7 6 11 28:36 -8 27
D L L W L
13 24 7 8 9 19:28 -9 26
D L L D L
14 24 8 2 14 20:32 -12 26
L L W L L
15 24 6 6 12 15:24 -9 24
D L L L W
16 24 4 5 15 11:30 -19 17
W L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs