BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Imperatriz
Match Timeline
Maracanã
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
I. Fortuna
Imperatriz
90+4'
Guilherme
Maracanã
🟥
90+8'
Luis Soares
Maracanã

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
1.33
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.47
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Imperatriz Win 49.3%
Draw 13.9%
Maracanã Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Imperatriz1.14
Maracanã1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WWDLW
15 GF / 10 GA
Maracanã Maracanã
WLDWL
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Imperatriz Imperatriz 10 matches
Maracanã Maracanã 10 matches
Imperatriz Statistic Maracanã
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
15 Goals For 12
10 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Maracanã. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maracanã having the stronger overall control.

Imperatriz Analysis

Imperatriz enter this tie with a season profile built on 15 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 15:10, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Ivan (4 goals), Fidel (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Maracanã Analysis

Maracanã come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 19 points from 10 matches. With 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:6, they bring good form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on Vinicius Caninde (3 goals), Alison (2 goals), Luis Soares (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Imperatriz won 1 times, Maracanã won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Imperatriz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
H2H summary: Imperatriz wins 1, draws 1, Maracanã wins 0
Last matches: Imperatriz
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
0
1
L
Last matches: Maracanã
07.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
3
L
H2H: Imperatriz vs Maracanã
08.06.25
H2H
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
W
31.05.25
H2H
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
Last matches: Imperatriz
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
2
1
W
H2H at home: Imperatriz
31.05.25
H2H
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
Last matches: Maracanã
30.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
3
L
10.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
0
1
L
19.04.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
2
2
D
H2H away: Maracanã
31.05.25
H2H
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 2.80
Home 2.31
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.89
Over 2.25 2.18
Over 2.5 2.47
Over 2.75 2.94
Under 1.25 3.06
Under 1.5 2.44
Under 1.75 2.15
Under 2.0 1.86
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 2.75 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.88
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.20
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.76
Home 2.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 1.78
Home 3.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 2.13
Home 2.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.90
Over 3.25 4.30
Over 3.5 4.70
Over 4.0 9.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.40
Under 1.0 4.95
Under 1.25 3.08
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 1.75 2.17
Under 2.0 1.81
Under 2.25 1.61
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.88
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 1.97
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 2.5 2.45
Over 3.5 4.60
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 3.5 1.13

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)