Ilves vs VPS Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ilves
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
30 matches
VPS
24 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 51 | Goals For | 32 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.13 | Shots On Goal | 1.55 |
| 4.33 | Total Shots | 3.6 |
| 1.71 | Corners | 1.6 |
| 21.8% | Ball Possession | 24% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between VPS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VPS. VPS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 4-3-3 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.
From their first 19 matches, Ilves have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 31:31 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
VPS sit 4 with 30 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 7 times, VPS won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Ilves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
VPS
Away
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
L
|