Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 0%
Draw 0%
VPS Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.53
VPS1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves
WWDLW
45 GF / 34 GA
VPS
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
9
2.56
Shots on Goal
1.87
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
24 matches
VPS
21 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 45 | Goals For | 28 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.56 | Shots On Goal | 1.87 |
| 5.78 | Total Shots | 4.2 |
| 2 | Corners | 1.87 |
| 24.7% | Ball Possession | 27.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 7 times, VPS won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Ilves's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ilves 4-3-3 / VPS 3-4-3
H2H summary: Ilves wins 7, draws 2, VPS wins 6
Last matches: Ilves
26.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
Last matches: VPS
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
H2H: Ilves vs VPS
24.04.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
3
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
2
W
14.07.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
W
02.05.25
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
0
W
04.10.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
W
21.07.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
W
07.06.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
0
2
L
26.05.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
0
D
21.01.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
Last matches: Ilves
26.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
14.07.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
W
23.03.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
0
2
L
21.01.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
Last matches: VPS
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
H2H away: VPS
14.07.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
L
15.02.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
L
23.03.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
1
L
28.07.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
0
2
W
21.01.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Ilves
VPS
2
3
W
Standings
Veikkausliiga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
VPS
Away
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 27 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:16 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9:36 | -27 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
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