Ilves vs Lahti Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ilves
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
32 matches
Lahti
26 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 52 | Goals For | 33 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.13 | Shots On Goal | 2.05 |
| 4.33 | Total Shots | 6.15 |
| 1.71 | Corners | 2.55 |
| 21.8% | Ball Possession | 28.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Lahti's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lahti. Ilves have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control.
With 25 points from 22 games and a place of 9, Ilves still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 34:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 22 matches, Lahti have collected 32 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 26:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Away
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
W
W
W
L
L
|