Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ilves
Lahti
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
23 matches
Lahti
20 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | Lahti |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 44 | Goals For | 27 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.71 | Shots On Goal | 2.56 |
| 6.12 | Total Shots | 7.69 |
| 2.12 | Corners | 3.19 |
| 26.1% | Ball Possession | 35.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Lahti's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lahti in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lahti having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Lahti.
From their first 15 matches, Ilves have collected 16 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 19 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 6 times, Lahti won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:25 from Ilves's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Lineups
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38:22 | 16 | 43 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 39 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Lahti
Away
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 18 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:43 | -28 | 11 |
W
W
L
L
D
|