FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
08.09.2026 15:00
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
1.55
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.63
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 83.1%
Draw 8.5%
FF Jaro Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.75
FF Jaro1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
52 GF / 43 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
24 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
16
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
15
2.13
Shots on Goal
1.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 32 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 27 matches
Ilves Statistic FF Jaro
12 Wins 4
6 Draws 7
14 Losses 16
52 Goals For 24
43 Goals Against 52
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
16 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 11
2.13 Shots On Goal 1.95
4.33 Total Shots 5.05
1.71 Corners 2
21.8% Ball Possession 23.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FF Jaro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FF Jaro. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ilves Analysis

Ilves sit 9 with 25 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 34:37 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 15 points from 22 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 18:44, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / FF Jaro 4-2-3-1

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9
Ilves Home
22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)