SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
14.08.2026 17:00
Domnarvsvallen
Referee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden
IK brage
Match Timeline
Orebro SK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul · Assist: K. Holmberg
Orebro SK
21'
M. Sise
IK brage
🟨
49'
Filip Trpčevski
IK brage
54'
L. Madsen · Assist: F. Trpcevski
IK brage
60'
A. Yasin · Assist: K. Holmberg
Orebro SK
🔄
62'
A. Ghasem ↔ C. Redenstrand
Orebro SK
🔄
66'
L. Madsen ↔ N. Ostberg
IK brage
🔄
66'
A. Hellblom ↔ G. Granstrom
IK brage
🔄
66'
M. Sise ↔ A. Lundin
IK brage
🔄
74'
K. Holmberg ↔ E. Ibrahimbegovic
Orebro SK
81'
A. Lundin · Assist: A. Zetterstrom
IK brage
🔄
87'
M. Kusu ↔ L. Astvald
Orebro SK
🔄
87'
E. McCue ↔ G. Bovalina
Orebro SK
🔄
89'
V. Okeke ↔ P. Jonsson
IK brage
🟨
90'
Antonio Yakoub
Orebro SK
90'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul · Assist: C. Redenstrand
Orebro SK

IK brage vs Orebro SK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IK brage Win 63.6%
Draw 5.8%
Orebro SK Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IK brage1.56
Orebro SK1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
IK brage IK brage
WWDLW
39 GF / 37 GA
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WLDWL
33 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
14
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
14
1.35
Shots on Goal
1.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IK brage IK brage 23 matches
Orebro SK Orebro SK 26 matches
IK brage Statistic Orebro SK
10 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
8 Losses 10
39 Goals For 33
37 Goals Against 35
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
14 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
1.35 Shots On Goal 1.76
2.12 Total Shots 2.24
1.94 Corners 1.53
22.6% Ball Possession 23.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IK brage expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Orebro SK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orebro SK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Orebro SK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orebro SK. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IK brage Analysis

So far, IK brage have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 20 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 30:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, IK brage won 8 times, Orebro SK won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:18 from IK brage's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: IK brage 4-5-1 / Orebro SK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: IK brage wins 8, draws 3, Orebro SK wins 2

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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