BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello
Iguatu
Match Timeline
IAPE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
Matheus Lima
Iguatu
45'
Esquerdinha
IAPE
69'
J. Klaivert
Iguatu
87'
Vinicius Almeida
IAPE
🟥
90+5'
IAPE
IAPE
90'
J. Klaivert
Iguatu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Iguatu Win 82.6%
Draw 10.5%
IAPE Win 7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Iguatu1
IAPE0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Iguatu Iguatu
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
IAPE IAPE
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Iguatu Iguatu 2 matches
IAPE IAPE 2 matches
Iguatu Statistic IAPE
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 2
0 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Iguatu's more proactive style and IAPE's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Iguatu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 4 points compared to IAPE in 3 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IAPE. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IAPE having the stronger overall control.

Iguatu Analysis

Placed 2 with 4 points from 2 outings, Iguatu continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 2:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matheus Lima (1 goals), Otacilio Marcos (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

IAPE Analysis

Placed 3 with 2 points from 2 outings, IAPE continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 2:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo Cutrim (1 goals), M. Rubens (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Iguatu won 1 times, IAPE won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Iguatu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93%)
H2H summary: Iguatu wins 1, draws 1, IAPE wins 0
Last matches: Iguatu
18.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Nacional AM
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H: Iguatu vs IAPE
23.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
Last matches: Iguatu
12.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
30.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
2
3
L
10.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Iguatu
18.04.26
H2H
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
H2H away: IAPE
18.04.26
H2H
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
L

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6
IAPE Away
10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)