SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
24.08.2026 17:00
Finnvedsvallen
Referee: N. Karlsson
IFK Varnamo
Match Timeline
Landskrona BoIS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Antonsson · Assist: H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
40'
A. Murbeck
Landskrona BoIS
🟨
52'
Z. Loukili
Landskrona BoIS
60'
K. Jensen · Assist: C. Capotondi
Landskrona BoIS
🔄
67'
Z. Loukili ↔ M. Mohamed
Landskrona BoIS
🔄
70'
H. Andersson ↔ S. Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
70'
K. Meriluoto ↔ M. Akinfenwa
IFK Varnamo
🟨
72'
A. Motaraghebjafarpour
IFK Varnamo
🔄
78'
M. Antonsson ↔ C. Johansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
81'
K. Jensen ↔ E. Hebibovic
Landskrona BoIS
🔄
89'
C. Johansson ↔ B. Zulovic
IFK Varnamo
🟨
90+7'
C. Capotondi
Landskrona BoIS

IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona BoIS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 14.4%
Draw 5.9%
Landskrona BoIS Win 79.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.37
Landskrona BoIS1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
37 GF / 50 GA
Landskrona BoIS Landskrona BoIS
WLDWL
45 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
15
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
16
1.82
Shots on Goal
2.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 27 matches
Landskrona BoIS Landskrona BoIS 28 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Landskrona BoIS
7 Wins 12
6 Draws 7
14 Losses 9
37 Goals For 45
50 Goals Against 38
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
15 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 4
1.82 Shots On Goal 2.22
3.06 Total Shots 3.17
2.24 Corners 2.11
28.1% Ball Possession 22.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Landskrona BoIS's more proactive style and IFK Varnamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Landskrona BoIS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 29 points while IFK Varnamo sit 14 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Varnamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Landskrona BoIS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Landskrona BoIS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Landskrona BoIS. Landskrona BoIS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo sit 14 with 18 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 23:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Landskrona BoIS Analysis

With 29 points from 19 games and a place of 5, Landskrona BoIS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 25:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 5 times, Landskrona BoIS won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / Landskrona BoIS 4-3-3
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 5, draws 6, Landskrona BoIS wins 4

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 23 10 9 4 32:24 8 39
D W D D D
4 23 11 5 7 39:30 9 38
L D W L D
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 23 9 8 6 36:35 1 35
L W L W D
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
W L D L D
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 23 4 11 8 27:33 -6 23
L L L D L
14 23 5 8 10 24:34 -10 23
W L D W D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
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