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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
27.09.2026 14:00
Sola Arena
IF Karlstad
Match Timeline
Karlberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
K. Kack Ofordu · Assist: A. Bark
IF Karlstad
🟨
31'
K. Kack Ofordu
IF Karlstad
🟨
35'
N. Negash
Karlberg
🔄
41'
H. Aslund ↔ A. Backman
Karlberg
🟥
45+2'
I. Hook
IF Karlstad
⚽
45'
A. Jemal
Karlberg
🔄
55'
J. Carstrom ↔ W. Miguel
IF Karlstad
🔄
69'
S. Zurmati ↔ O. Alvers
IF Karlstad
🔄
69'
K. Kack Ofordu ↔ K. Gustafsson
IF Karlstad
🔄
69'
H. Fernandez ↔ F. Nilsson
Karlberg
🔄
85'
N. Negash ↔ B. Basaric
Karlberg
🔄
85'
M. Jansson ↔ V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
86'
J. Bengtsson ↔ F. Modou
IF Karlstad

IF Karlstad vs Karlberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
IF Karlstad Win 70.5%
Draw 6.5%
Karlberg Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Karlstad1.54
Karlberg1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
D D L L D
6 GF / 8 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
L L W L D
1 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
15
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 29 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 34 matches
IF Karlstad Statistic Karlberg
13 Wins 15
7 Draws 5
9 Losses 14
43 Goals For 57
31 Goals Against 55
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
15 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 23
8 Over 3.5 15
10 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Karlberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karlberg. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Karlberg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 39 points after 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 35:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg sit 9 with 28 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 29:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, IF Karlstad won 4 times, Karlberg won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from IF Karlstad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: IF Karlstad wins 4, draws 1, Karlberg wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 19 4 4 64:22 42 61
D W W W W
2 27 15 5 7 52:37 15 50
W L D W L
3 28 14 7 7 55:29 26 49
D W L L W
4 27 14 6 7 47:34 13 48
L L W W W
5 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
6 27 13 7 7 44:37 7 46
W L D W D
7 27 12 8 7 41:27 14 44
L W D D D
8 27 11 5 11 39:43 -4 38
W W W L W
9 27 10 5 12 45:48 -3 35
L W L L W
10 27 9 6 12 37:47 -10 33
L D W D L
11 27 9 5 13 33:47 -14 32
D D L L W
12 27 6 10 11 28:37 -9 28
D W L L D
13 27 7 7 13 39:59 -20 28
L D L W L
14 27 5 9 13 34:50 -16 24
D D D W W
15 28 6 5 17 39:60 -21 23
D W L D L
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L