SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Sola Arena
IF Karlstad
Match Timeline
Gefle IF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
L. Rhose ↔ B. Tagoe
IF Karlstad
21'
R. Nehrman
IF Karlstad
🔄
46'
D. Nfansu ↔ J. Carstrom
IF Karlstad
49'
K. Gustafsson
IF Karlstad
🟨
56'
T. Markstrom
Gefle IF
🟨
56'
M. Kouyate
Gefle IF
🔄
60'
M. Kouyate ↔ M. Mokede
Gefle IF
🔄
60'
N. Lundstrom ↔ M. Berggren
Gefle IF
🟨
66'
I. Hook
IF Karlstad
🔄
75'
A. Zahirovic ↔ M. Hasanbegovic
Gefle IF
🔄
79'
A. Djerlek ↔ O. Alvers
IF Karlstad
🔄
79'
K. Kack Ofordu ↔ J. Bengtsson
IF Karlstad
🔄
86'
K. Gustafsson ↔ D. Alfonsi
IF Karlstad
🔄
86'
R. Nehrman ↔ I. Edman
Gefle IF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
IF Karlstad Win 72.1%
Draw 8%
Gefle IF Win 20%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Karlstad1.63
Gefle IF1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WLDWL
39 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.95
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 16 matches
Gefle IF Gefle IF 20 matches
IF Karlstad Statistic Gefle IF
9 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 11
22 Goals For 39
13 Goals Against 40
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 13
10 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 17
3 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Gefle IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gefle IF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. IF Karlstad arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Gefle IF in 13 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gefle IF having the stronger overall control. IF Karlstad come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 26 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 18:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Gefle IF Analysis

Gefle IF sit 13 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, IF Karlstad won 1 times, Gefle IF won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from IF Karlstad's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: IF Karlstad wins 1, draws 4, Gefle IF wins 4

Lineups

IF Karlstad
Formation
Gefle IF
M. Karlsson
M. Karlsson
S. Beko
S. Beko
S. Zurmati
S. Zurmati
W. Miguel
W. Miguel
I. Hook
I. Hook
E. Nilsson King
E. Nilsson King
K. Gustafsson
K. Gustafsson
K. Kack Ofordu
K. Kack Ofordu
L. Rhose
L. Rhose
D. Nfansu
D. Nfansu
A. Djerlek
A. Djerlek
M. Croon
M. Croon
T. Hansemon
T. Hansemon
D. Ismail
D. Ismail
M. Kouyate
M. Kouyate
A. Zahirovic
A. Zahirovic
L. Vikgren
L. Vikgren
A. Nezirevic
A. Nezirevic
R. Nehrman
R. Nehrman
C. Javette
C. Javette
N. Lundstrom
N. Lundstrom
K. Persson
K. Persson
IF Karlstad 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Karlsson
2
S. Beko
6
S. Zurmati
12
W. Miguel
14
I. Hook
🟨 66'
19
E. Nilsson King
21
K. Gustafsson
⚽ 49' ↓ 86'
22
K. Kack Ofordu
↓ 79'
23
L. Rhose
↓ 11'
24
D. Nfansu
↓ 46'
28
A. Djerlek
↓ 79'
Substitutes
13
D. Henareh
9
J. Carstrom
↑ 46'
10
O. Alvers
↑ 79'
11
J. Bengtsson
↑ 79'
17
N. Jatta
18
B. Tagoe
↑ 11'
26
D. Alfonsi
↑ 86'
Gefle IF 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Croon
4
T. Hansemon
5
D. Ismail
8
M. Kouyate
↓ 60' 🟨 56'
9
A. Zahirovic
↓ 75'
11
L. Vikgren
15
A. Nezirevic
16
R. Nehrman
⚽ 21' ↓ 86'
19
C. Javette
23
N. Lundstrom
↓ 60'
24
K. Persson
Substitutes
27
T. Markstrom
🟨 56'
6
I. Edman
↑ 86'
10
M. Mokede
↑ 60'
13
M. Berggren
↑ 60'
77
M. Hasanbegovic
↑ 75'
Last matches: IF Karlstad
27.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Arlanda
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
2
2
D
05.06.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
3
2
W
30.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Umeå FC
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Vasalund
5
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Karlberg
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Piteå
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Skövde AIK
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
IK brage
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Ljungskile SK
1
0
W
Last matches: Gefle IF
27.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stocksund
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Stockholm Internazionale
0
2
L
06.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Hammarby Talang
0
4
L
01.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Arlanda
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Järfälla
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Assyriska FF
0
0
D
14.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Vasalund
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Umeå FC
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Enköping
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Karlberg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Sollentuna
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
AFC Eskilstuna
4
3
W
03.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
FBK Karlstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
IK brage
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Sunnersta
3
2
W
04.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Falu BS
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Lucksta
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Karlberg
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Hudiksvall
7
1
W
H2H: IF Karlstad vs Gefle IF
13.06.26
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
W
21.09.25
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
1
1
D
28.06.25
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
25.09.22
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
3
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
3
L
31.10.21
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
10.07.21
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
1
L
22.11.20
H2H
Gefle IF
IF Karlstad
2
2
D
08.08.20
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
1
2
L
Last matches: IF Karlstad
30.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Sollentuna
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Vasalund
5
0
W
14.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Järfälla
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ett
IF Karlstad
Piteå
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Skövde AIK
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
IF Karlstad
Ljungskile SK
1
0
W
H2H at home: IF Karlstad
13.06.26
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
W
28.06.25
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
3
L
31.10.21
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
08.08.20
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
1
2
L
Last matches: Gefle IF
01.06.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Arlanda
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Järfälla
0
4
L
14.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Vasalund
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Umeå FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
Karlberg
2
3
L
03.04.26
Ett
Gefle IF
FBK Karlstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
IK brage
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Vasteras SK FK
0
4
L
14.02.26
Fri
Gefle IF
Karlberg
2
3
L
H2H away: Gefle IF
13.06.26
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
0
L
28.06.25
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
3
W
31.10.21
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
2
D
08.08.20
H2H
IF Karlstad
Gefle IF
1
2
W

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 38:11 27 32
W D W W L
2 14 9 3 2 22:9 13 30
L D W W D
3 14 8 5 1 23:10 13 29
W W W W L
4 14 8 3 3 28:14 14 27
W W W W D
5 14 8 1 5 24:23 1 25
L W D W L
6 14 7 3 4 23:20 3 24
L W L L D
7 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
W D W W W
8 14 5 3 6 23:23 0 18
W W L L D
9 14 4 4 6 20:24 -4 16
L L W D D
10 14 4 3 7 21:27 -6 15
W D L L L
11 14 4 3 7 20:30 -10 15
L L D L W
12 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
W D L L W
13 14 4 2 8 17:29 -12 14
W L L L W
14 14 2 7 5 12:19 -7 13
L L D D D
15 14 2 3 9 16:32 -16 9
L D L L D
16 14 1 5 8 28:36 -8 8
L L D W D