SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
16.09.2026 17:00
Sola Arena
IF Karlstad
Match Timeline
FBK Karlstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
C. Marigliano
FBK Karlstad
🟨
37'
B. Tagoe
IF Karlstad
🟨
57'
K. Gustafsson
IF Karlstad
🔄
59'
W. Miguel ↔ L. Maasland
IF Karlstad
🔄
59'
K. Gustafsson ↔ J. Bengtsson
IF Karlstad
🔄
65'
M. Oluwayemi ↔ W. Dukhan
FBK Karlstad
🔄
72'
A. Sandstad ↔ W. Olsson
FBK Karlstad
🔄
74'
A. Bark ↔ D. Nfansu
IF Karlstad
🔄
84'
S. Zurmati ↔ N. Jatta
IF Karlstad
🔄
84'
K. Kack Ofordu ↔ F. Modou
IF Karlstad
🟨
90+5'
D. Nfansu
IF Karlstad

IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.3%
1.83
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
IF Karlstad Win 49.3%
Draw 17.9%
FBK Karlstad Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Karlstad1.52
FBK Karlstad1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WLDWL
51 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
14
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 27 matches
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 29 matches
IF Karlstad Statistic FBK Karlstad
13 Wins 15
5 Draws 4
9 Losses 10
41 Goals For 51
29 Goals Against 44
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
14 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FBK Karlstad. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FBK Karlstad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IF Karlstad have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad sit 3 with 37 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 32:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

FBK Karlstad sit 6 with 34 points after 20 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 34:31 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, IF Karlstad won 1 times, FBK Karlstad won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from IF Karlstad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
H2H summary: IF Karlstad wins 1, draws 1, FBK Karlstad wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L