SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
13.09.2026 12:00
Borås Arena

IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IF Elfsborg Win 77.8%
Draw 6.5%
Kalmar FF Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Elfsborg1.39
Kalmar FF1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWDLW
39 GF / 34 GA
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
WLDWL
39 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
18
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
16
4.05
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 29 matches
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 30 matches
IF Elfsborg Statistic Kalmar FF
12 Wins 10
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 15
39 Goals For 39
34 Goals Against 44
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
18 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 11
4.05 Shots On Goal 4.1
12.1 Total Shots 12.95
4.15 Corners 4.8
48.3% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around IF Elfsborg's more proactive style and Kalmar FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Elfsborg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kalmar FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kalmar FF having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kalmar FF. IF Elfsborg come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IF Elfsborg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 31 points compared to Kalmar FF in 13 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 31 points from 19 games, IF Elfsborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:19, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Leo Östman (5 goals), Arbër Zeneli (4 goals), Julius Magnusson (3 goals), with creative support from Julius Magnusson (3 assists), Momoh Ibrahim Kamara (3 assists), Arbër Zeneli (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kalmar FF Analysis

With 19 points from 19 games and a place of 13, Kalmar FF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Rosenquist (7 goals), Charles Sagoe Jr. (3 goals), Rony Jansson (3 goals), with creative support from Charles Sagoe Jr. (8 assists), Rony Jansson (2 assists), Robert Gojani (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IF Elfsborg won 6 times, Kalmar FF won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from IF Elfsborg's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1 / Kalmar FF 4-4-2
H2H summary: IF Elfsborg wins 6, draws 3, Kalmar FF wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 3 3 48:27 21 45
W L L L D
2 20 12 2 6 44:19 25 38
W W W W L
3 20 11 4 5 45:19 26 37
D L W W W
4 20 8 8 4 33:29 4 32
D L W W L
5 19 9 5 5 28:27 1 32
D W W W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:21 7 31
L W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 33:30 3 30
D W L W L
8 20 8 5 7 28:34 -6 29
L W D L W
9 20 7 6 7 25:18 7 27
D W L L W
10 20 7 6 7 29:32 -3 27
W L W W D
11 20 7 5 8 28:40 -12 26
W W D L W
12 19 5 5 9 25:33 -8 20
L L L W L
13 20 5 4 11 21:30 -9 19
L L D L L
14 20 5 4 11 19:31 -12 19
W L L W W
15 20 3 6 11 23:43 -20 15
D L D L L
16 20 2 5 13 13:37 -24 11
L W D L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation