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16.11.2026 17:00

Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Iceland Win 40.6%
Draw 27.9%
Luxembourg Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Iceland1.42
Luxembourg0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Iceland Iceland
W D W W D
12 GF / 1 GA
Luxembourg Luxembourg
L L L L W
2 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.43
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
3
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
2
3.4
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Iceland Iceland 10 matches
Luxembourg Luxembourg 7 matches
Iceland Statistic Luxembourg
3 Wins 2
4 Draws 0
3 Losses 5
15 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 9
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.43
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
3 BTTS Yes 1
8 Over 1.5 3
6 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
3.4 Shots On Goal 3
9.2 Total Shots 9.14
3.2 Corners 2.86
43.2% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Iceland won 0 times, Luxembourg won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Iceland's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.1%)
Predicted formations: Iceland 4-4-2 / Luxembourg 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Iceland wins 0, draws 1, Luxembourg wins 1

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs