BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
IAPE
Match Timeline
Iguatu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Matheus Lima
Iguatu
90'
Michael
IAPE

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IAPE Win 8.1%
Draw 8.1%
Iguatu Win 83.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IAPE0.91
Iguatu1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
IAPE IAPE
WWDLW
8 GF / 14 GA
Iguatu Iguatu
WLDWL
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
5
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IAPE IAPE 7 matches
Iguatu Iguatu 7 matches
IAPE Statistic Iguatu
0 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
8 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 4
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Iguatu's more proactive style and IAPE's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Iguatu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Iguatu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while IAPE sit 6 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. IAPE have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Iguatu having the stronger overall control.

IAPE Analysis

IAPE approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 3 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Gustavo Cutrim (2 goals), Richarles (2 goals), Vinicius Almeida (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Iguatu Analysis

Iguatu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 15 points after 7 matches. With 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Matheus Lima (4 goals), J. Klaivert (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, IAPE won 0 times, Iguatu won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from IAPE's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.9%)
H2H summary: IAPE wins 0, draws 1, Iguatu wins 1
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
Last matches: Iguatu
18.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Nacional AM
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
H2H: IAPE vs Iguatu
23.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
L
Last matches: IAPE
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H at home: IAPE
23.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
Last matches: Iguatu
18.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Nacional AM
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
04.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
0
1
L
26.04.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
2
L
H2H away: Iguatu
23.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6
IAPE Home
10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)