WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Holywell Win 12%
Draw 6.7%
Caernarfon Town Win 81.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holywell1.65
Caernarfon Town2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holywell Holywell
WWDLW
6 GF / 15 GA
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.33
3
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holywell Holywell 5 matches
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 6 matches
Holywell Statistic Caernarfon Town
0 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 3
6 Goals For 8
15 Goals Against 14
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Holywell won 0 times, Caernarfon Town won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Holywell's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
H2H summary: Holywell wins 0, draws 1, Caernarfon Town wins 0
Last matches: Holywell
14.08.26
Pre
Holywell
Llandudno
1
3
L
07.08.26
Pre
Holywell
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pre
Holywell
Cardiff MET
1
6
L
10.07.26
Fri
Holywell
Mold Alexandra
1
1
D
23.06.26
Fri
Holywell
Holyhead Hotspur
2
2
D
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
H2H: Holywell vs Caernarfon Town
10.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Holywell
2
2
D
Last matches: Holywell
07.08.26
Pre
Holywell
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Holywell
Mold Alexandra
1
1
D
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
23.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
5
2
W
30.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
5
2
W
09.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:3 7 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:3 3 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 5:1 4 7
W W D
4 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
W W D
5 3 2 0 1 10:3 7 6
W W L
6 3 2 0 1 8:2 6 6
L W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W L W
8 3 2 0 1 3:2 1 6
W L W
9 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
L D W
10 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
11 3 1 1 1 4:5 -1 4
L D W
12 3 0 1 2 3:6 -3 1
L D L
13 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
14 3 0 0 3 0:6 -6 0
L L L
15 3 0 0 3 3:12 -9 0
L L L
16 3 0 0 3 0:12 -12 0
L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)