GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
05.09.2026 11:00
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Adrian Kapralik
Holstein Kiel
🟨
16'
David Zec
Holstein Kiel
🟨
34'
Eric Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
36'
Guillermo Balzi
Holstein Kiel
41'
Adam Markhiev · Assist: Javier Fernández
1. FC Nürnberg
45+1'
Phil Harres · Assist: Adrian Kapralik
Holstein Kiel
50'
Adrian Kapralik · Assist: Jonas Meffert
Holstein Kiel
56'
Piet Scobel · Assist: Adam Markhiev
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
63'
Julian Justvan ↔ William Bøving
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
63'
Finn Ole Becker ↔ Rafael Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
63'
Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen ↔ Gyan de Regt
Holstein Kiel
🔄
63'
John Tolkin ↔ Leon Parduzi
Holstein Kiel
🟨
65'
Leon Parduzi
Holstein Kiel
🔄
72'
Tim janisch ↔ Giannis Masouras
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
77'
Rafael Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
79'
Kasper Davidsen ↔ Tayar Tasdelen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
83'
Giannis Masouras
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
85'
Piet Scobel ↔ Sigurd Haugen
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
85'
Mohamed Alì Zoma ↔ Rayan Ghrieb
1. FC Nürnberg

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds 3.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.8%
3.25
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.54
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.7%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 32.3%
Draw 3.9%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 63.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.38
1. FC Nürnberg3.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WLDWL
33 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
4.13
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
8
4.67
Shots on Goal
7.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 11 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 8 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
3 Wins 7
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 0
17 Goals For 33
20 Goals Against 9
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 4.13
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
4.67 Shots On Goal 7.33
14.67 Total Shots 14.67
4 Corners 3.67
59.3% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 5 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-5-1 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 5, draws 5, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 4

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 15:6 9 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:6 9 13
W D W W W
3 5 4 0 1 12:10 2 12
W W W L W
4 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L W W L
5 5 2 2 1 10:7 3 8
L D W W D
6 5 2 2 1 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
7 5 2 1 2 13:12 1 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
D W L W L
9 5 1 3 1 7:7 0 6
W D L D D
10 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L W W L L
11 5 1 2 2 8:10 -2 5
D L W L D
12 5 1 2 2 6:11 -5 5
L D L D W
13 5 1 1 3 12:12 0 4
D L L L W
14 5 1 1 3 8:10 -2 4
L D L W L
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:8 -4 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 1 3 7:12 -5 4
D L L W L
18 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L D L D D
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