GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA

05.09.2026 11:00

Holstein Kiel

2 - 2

1. FC Nürnberg

Holstein-Stadion

Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany

Holstein Kiel

Match Timeline

1. FC Nürnberg

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 63.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 88%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	63.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	88%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	91.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Holstein Kiel Win 32.3%

Draw 3.9%

1. FC Nürnberg Win 63.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel1.38

1. FC Nürnberg3.21

Recent Form (Last 5)

Holstein Kiel

WWDLW

17 GF / 20 GA

1. FC Nürnberg

WLDWL

33 GF / 9 GA

Key Stats

1.55

Average Goals Scored

4.13

1.82

Average Goals Conceded

1.13

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.67

Shots on Goal

7.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel 11 matches

1. FC Nürnberg 8 matches

Holstein Kiel	Statistic	1. FC Nürnberg
3	Wins	7
4	Draws	1
4	Losses	0
17	Goals For	33
20	Goals Against	9
1.55	Avg Goals Scored	4.13
1.82	Avg Goals Conceded	1.13
8	BTTS Yes	6
11	Over 1.5	8
8	Over 2.5	8
6	Over 3.5	6
1	Clean Sheets	2
2	Failed To Score	0
4.67	Shots On Goal	7.33
14.67	Total Shots	14.67
4	Corners	3.67
59.3%	Ball Possession	55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 5 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)

Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-5-1 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 5, draws 5, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 4

Standings

2. Bundesliga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Hertha BSC	7	7	0	0	19:8	11	21	W W W W W
2	1. FC Nürnberg Away	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17	D W W D W
3	1. FC Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	14:12	2	14	D D W W W
4	1. FC Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13	W D W L W
5	VfL Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	19:12	7	12	D W L D W
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12	D W L W W
7	FC St. Pauli	7	2	4	1	10:8	2	10	W D W D L
8	Energie Cottbus	7	2	2	3	15:16	-1	8	L D W D L
9	Arminia Bielefeld	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8	W D L D L
10	VfL Osnabrück	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8	D D L W W
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	7	2	1	4	13:13	0	7	W L D L L
12	VfL Bochum	7	2	1	4	5:7	-2	7	L L D W L
13	Hannover 96	7	2	1	4	7:12	-5	7	L W L D W
14	SV Darmstadt 98	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7	W L W L L
15	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	7	1	3	3	10:13	-3	6	L D D L W
16	Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5	D L D L L
17	Karlsruher SC	7	1	2	4	6:14	-8	5	L L L D L
18	Holstein Kiel Home	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4	L D L D L

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