Hoffenheim II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.6%
|
- |
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hoffenheim II
34 matches
FC Ingolstadt 04
34 matches
| Hoffenheim II | Statistic | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 61 | Goals For | 52 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 11.43 | Total Shots | 11.75 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 47.4% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hoffenheim II expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Ingolstadt 04 in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Ingolstadt 04 having the stronger overall control. FC Ingolstadt 04 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Ingolstadt 04.
Hoffenheim II sit 15 with 40 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 60:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Zeitler (15 goals), A. Amaimouni (9 goals), L. Duric (9 goals), with creative support from L. Duric (8 assists), A. Amaimouni (5 assists), Luca Erlein (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
FC Ingolstadt 04 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 40 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 52:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Costly (13 goals), Dennis Kaygın (7 goals), Y. Sturm (6 goals), with creative support from M. Costly (8 assists), F. Carlsen (6 assists), M. Besuschkow (6 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim II won 0 times, FC Ingolstadt 04 won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Hoffenheim II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 |
Hoffenheim II
Home
|
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|