DENMARK 1. DIVISION
22.04.2026 16:00
DS Arena
Referee: J. Bogelund
Hobro
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
T. Thomsen
HB Koge
🟨
44'
E. Sogaard
Hobro
🟨
45+2'
F. Dietz
Hobro
57'
A. Gothler · Assist: G. Larsen
HB Koge
🔄
61'
C. Enemark ↔ M. Haarup
Hobro
🔄
61'
R. Hauge ↔ M. Pedersen
Hobro
🔄
61'
S. Andreasen ↔ T. Hansen
Hobro
🔄
70'
Z. Hyltoft ↔ M. Bruhn
Hobro
🔄
78'
G. Larsen ↔ E. Semovski
HB Koge
82'
M. Bruhn
Hobro
🔄
84'
T. Thomsen ↔ Mudi
HB Koge
🔄
86'
E. Sogaard ↔ G. Bjerge
Hobro
🔄
90+2'
A. Gothler ↔ L. Achton
HB Koge

Hobro vs HB Koge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Hobro Win 36.7%
Draw 25.3%
HB Koge Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hobro1.39
HB Koge1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hobro Hobro
WWDLW
30 GF / 32 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
32 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hobro Hobro 25 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 25 matches
Hobro Statistic HB Koge
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 12
30 Goals For 32
32 Goals Against 42
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward HB Koge. Hobro come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Hobro Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 31 points from 25 games, Hobro bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a 24:32 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Bruhn (7 goals), O. Klitten (5 goals), S. Andreasen (5 goals), with creative support from L. Klitten (5 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), O. Klitten (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

HB Koge Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 25 games, HB Koge bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:41, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Gothler (7 goals), C. Jensen Tue (6 goals), M. Jensen (4 goals), with creative support from T. Thomsen (3 assists), S. Larsen (3 assists), M. Jensen (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hobro won 7 times, HB Koge won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Hobro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)
Predicted formations: Hobro - / HB Koge 3-4-3
H2H summary: Hobro wins 7, draws 3, HB Koge wins 5

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10
Hobro Home
22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round