Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- |
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HNK Rijeka
47 matches
HNK Hajduk Split
35 matches
| HNK Rijeka | Statistic | HNK Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 20 |
| 14 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 8 |
| 58 | Goals For | 57 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.66 | Shots On Goal | 4.91 |
| 12.19 | Total Shots | 13.37 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 52.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Rijeka expected to line up in 4-4-2 and HNK Hajduk Split in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Hajduk Split having the stronger overall control. HNK Rijeka have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. HNK Hajduk Split carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 60 points while HNK Rijeka sit 4 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HNK Hajduk Split.
HNK Rijeka sit 4 with 42 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.
HNK Hajduk Split come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 60 points after 31 matches. With 18 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of -:-, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (8 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (5 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a balanced approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Rijeka won 8 times, HNK Hajduk Split won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from HNK Rijeka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
HNK Rijeka
6
1
6
3
2
1
Lineups
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
Siroki Brijeg
HNK Hajduk Split
Posušje
HNK Hajduk Split
Croatia Zmijavci
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
Koper
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Celje
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
Sparta Praha
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
Croatia Zmijavci
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Tirana
HNK Hajduk Split
Zira
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 93:28 | 65 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
Away
|
36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 61:36 | 25 | 68 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 3 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 54 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
HNK Rijeka
Home
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 53 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 40:52 | -12 | 44 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:50 | -11 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 46:61 | -15 | 41 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40:48 | -8 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 35 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 37:73 | -36 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
D
|