CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Referee: A. Culina
HNK Rijeka
Match Timeline
HNK Hajduk Split
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Ron Raçi
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
67'
Alfonso Barco
HNK Rijeka
🟨
73'
Rokas Pukštas
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
81'
A. Pajaziti ↔ A. Guram
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
83'
M. Devetak ↔ D. Legbo
HNK Rijeka
🔄
83'
D. Cop ↔ A. Juric
HNK Rijeka
🟨
84'
Iker Almena
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
86'
Roko Brajković
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
89'
A. Gojak ↔ J. Lasickas
HNK Rijeka
🔄
90+3'
M. Livaja ↔ A. Kalik
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
90'
I. Almena ↔ B. Durdov
HNK Hajduk Split

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Probability Distribution
HNK Rijeka Win 34.2%
Draw 0%
HNK Hajduk Split Win 65.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Rijeka1.14
HNK Hajduk Split1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WWDLW
58 GF / 53 GA
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WLDWL
57 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1
21
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
17
3.66
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 47 matches
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 35 matches
HNK Rijeka Statistic HNK Hajduk Split
17 Wins 20
14 Draws 7
16 Losses 8
58 Goals For 57
53 Goals Against 35
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1
21 BTTS Yes 17
31 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 9
16 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 6
3.66 Shots On Goal 4.91
12.19 Total Shots 13.37
4.85 Corners 4.8
47% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Rijeka expected to line up in 4-4-2 and HNK Hajduk Split in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Hajduk Split having the stronger overall control. HNK Rijeka have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. HNK Hajduk Split carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 60 points while HNK Rijeka sit 4 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HNK Hajduk Split.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

HNK Rijeka sit 4 with 42 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at -:-, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 60 points after 31 matches. With 18 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of -:-, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (8 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (5 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Rijeka won 8 times, HNK Hajduk Split won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from HNK Rijeka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: HNK Rijeka 4-4-2 / HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HNK Rijeka wins 8, draws 4, HNK Hajduk Split wins 3
Stats
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
14 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
403 Total passes 319
347 Passes accurate 260
1.39 expected_goals 0.84
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HNK Rijeka
Formation
HNK Hajduk Split
M. Zlomislic
M. Zlomislic
A. Orec
A. Orec
A. Majstorovic
A. Majstorovic
S. Radeljic
S. Radeljic
M. Devetak
M. Devetak
B. Pavic
B. Pavic
A. Barco
A. Barco
A. Gojak
A. Gojak
D. Adu Adjei
D. Adu Adjei
T. Dantas
T. Dantas
D. Cop
D. Cop
T. Silic
T. Silic
Z. Sarlija
Z. Sarlija
D. Maresic
D. Maresic
R. Raci
R. Raci
R. Brajkovic
R. Brajkovic
N. Sigur
N. Sigur
A. Pajaziti
A. Pajaziti
D. Melnjak
D. Melnjak
I. Almena
I. Almena
R. Pukstas
R. Pukstas
M. Livaja
M. Livaja
HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Zlomislic
G
22
A. Orec
D
45
A. Majstorovic
D
6
S. Radeljic
D
34
M. Devetak
↓ 83'
D
66
B. Pavic
55
A. Barco
🟨 67'
M
14
A. Gojak
↓ 89'
M
18
D. Adu Adjei
M
26
T. Dantas
M
9
D. Cop
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Todorovic
G
23
J. Lasickas
↑ 89'
D
24
D. Legbo
↑ 83'
F
8
D. Petrovic
M
20
M. Ndockyt
M
11
G. Rukavina
F
77
A. Juric
↑ 83'
F
91
N. Bodetic
D
2
L. Kitin
D
HNK Hajduk Split 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
33
T. Silic
G
31
Z. Sarlija
D
15
D. Maresic
D
14
R. Raci
🟨 25'
D
28
R. Brajkovic
🟨 86'
M
8
N. Sigur
M
4
A. Pajaziti
↓ 81'
M
17
D. Melnjak
M
30
I. Almena
↓ 90' 🟨 84'
F
21
R. Pukstas
🟨 73'
F
10
M. Livaja
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
44
D. Stipica
G
1
I. Ivusic
G
7
A. Kalik
↑ 90+3'
M
6
H. Guillamon
M
32
S. Hrgovic
D
37
N. Skoko
M
34
B. Durdov
↑ 90'
F
26
A. Guram
↑ 81'
M
24
A. Sanyang
F
3
R. Gabric
D
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
18.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
22.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
W
16.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
21.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
0
1
L
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
3
1
W
21.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
0
W
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
28.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
07.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
31.01.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
25.01.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Siroki Brijeg
2
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Posušje
4
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Croatia Zmijavci
2
1
W
H2H: HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split
26.04.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
04.03.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
2
W
22.02.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
5
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
2
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
0
W
26.02.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
3
W
15.12.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
28.01.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
2
W
07.10.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
30.07.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
24.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
14.01.26
Fri
HNK Rijeka
Koper
1
2
L
21.12.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Celje
3
0
W
06.12.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
22.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
5
0
W
27.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
4
2
W
24.10.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Sparta Praha
1
0
W
27.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
13.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
H2H at home: HNK Rijeka
26.04.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
04.03.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
2
W
22.11.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
5
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
16.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
07.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
3
1
W
21.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
31.01.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
11.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Croatia Zmijavci
2
1
W
13.12.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
1
W
06.12.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
22.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
0
5
L
02.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
24.10.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
19.10.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
3
0
W
04.10.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
1
0
W
13.09.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
24.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Tirana
1
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Zira
1
1
D
H2H away: HNK Hajduk Split
26.04.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
04.03.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
2
L
22.11.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
5
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
3
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation