Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HNK Rijeka
51 matches
HNK Gorica
35 matches
| HNK Rijeka | Statistic | HNK Gorica |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 11 |
| 16 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 16 |
| 64 | Goals For | 40 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 20 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.54 |
| 12.18 | Total Shots | 10.31 |
| 5.02 | Corners | 4.26 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights HNK Rijeka's more proactive style and HNK Gorica's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Rijeka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and HNK Gorica in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Gorica having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HNK Gorica.
Placed 4 with 50 points from 35 outings, HNK Rijeka continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 47:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Fruk (12 goals), Tiago Dantas (7 goals), D. Adu Adjei (6 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), Mladen Devetak (5 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 35 matches, HNK Gorica have collected 41 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, while the 40:46 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jurica Pršir (7 goals), A. Erceg (6 goals), F. Cuic (4 goals), with creative support from Iker Pozo (6 assists), Z. Trontelj (4 assists), Marijan Čabraja (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Rijeka won 11 times, HNK Gorica won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:9 from HNK Rijeka's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
HNK Rijeka
7
2
8
1
6
0
Lineups
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Dekani
HNK Rijeka
Radomlje
HNK Rijeka
Brinje-Grosuplje
HNK Rijeka
Bravo
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Gorica
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Gorica
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
HNK Gorica
Göztepe
HNK Gorica
Brežice
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Dekani
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
Koper
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
Celje
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
Sparta Praha
HNK Gorica
FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
Brežice
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 93:28 | 65 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 61:36 | 25 | 68 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 54 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
HNK Rijeka
Home
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 53 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 40:52 | -12 | 44 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:50 | -11 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 46:61 | -15 | 41 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
HNK Gorica
Away
|
36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40:48 | -8 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 9 | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 35 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 37:73 | -36 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
D
|