CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Poljud
Referee: P. Kolaric
HNK Hajduk Split
Match Timeline
NK Varazdin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Niko Sigur
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
18'
Roko Brajković
HNK Hajduk Split
21'
A. Latkovic · Assist: M. Vuk
NK Varazdin
27'
S. Lesjak
HNK Hajduk Split
🟨
30'
Zvonimir Šarlija
HNK Hajduk Split
45'
R. Pukstas · Assist: D. Maresic
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
46'
Z. Sarlija ↔ R. Gabric
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
46'
M. Barac ↔ M. Mladenovski
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
D. Puclin ↔ S. Ilinkovic
NK Varazdin
🔄
61'
D. Melnjak ↔ S. Hrgovic
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
69'
T. Duvnjak ↔ I. Canjuga
NK Varazdin
🔄
73'
M. Sego ↔ A. Guram
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
73'
R. Brajkovic ↔ L. Hodak
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
78'
M. Vuk ↔ P. Bockaj
NK Varazdin
🔄
82'
R. Pukstas ↔ A. Sanyang
HNK Hajduk Split
🔄
82'
L. Mamic ↔ Paizinho
NK Varazdin
VAR
87'
Marko Livaja
HNK Hajduk Split
🟥
90+3'
Mario Mladenovski
NK Varazdin
VAR
90+3'
Mario Mladenovski
NK Varazdin
90'
A. Sanyang · Assist: M. Livaja
HNK Hajduk Split

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 60%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
60%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HNK Hajduk Split Win 70.5%
Draw 5.5%
NK Varazdin Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Hajduk Split1.48
NK Varazdin1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
WWDLW
57 GF / 35 GA
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
17
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
17
4.81
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 36 matches
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 matches
HNK Hajduk Split Statistic NK Varazdin
20 Wins 14
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 12
57 Goals For 43
35 Goals Against 45
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
17 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 7
4.81 Shots On Goal 3.47
13.11 Total Shots 10.38
4.72 Corners 3.44
52.1% Ball Possession 41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features HNK Hajduk Split's more proactive style and NK Varazdin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NK Varazdin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Hajduk Split expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NK Varazdin in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Varazdin having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

HNK Hajduk Split Analysis

Placed 2 with 61 points from 32 outings, HNK Hajduk Split continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 51:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (8 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (5 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 47 points after 32 matches. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 41:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (7 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (6 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 8 times, NK Varazdin won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:13 from HNK Hajduk Split's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1 / NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: HNK Hajduk Split wins 8, draws 4, NK Varazdin wins 3
Stats
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
436 Total passes 435
383 Passes accurate 371
1.73 expected_goals 1.98
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

HNK Hajduk Split
Formation
NK Varazdin
T. Silic
T. Silic
R. Brajkovic
R. Brajkovic
Z. Sarlija
Z. Sarlija
D. Maresic
🎯
D. Maresic
D. Melnjak
D. Melnjak
N. Sigur
N. Sigur
A. Pajaziti
A. Pajaziti
I. Almena
I. Almena
R. Pukstas
R. Pukstas
M. Sego
M. Sego
M. Livaja
🎯
M. Livaja
J. Silic
J. Silic
F. Maglica
F. Maglica
S. Lesjak
S. Lesjak
M. Barac
M. Barac
A. Borsic
A. Borsic
T. Duvnjak
T. Duvnjak
D. Puclin
D. Puclin
M. Vuk
🎯
M. Vuk
L. Mamic
L. Mamic
I. Tavares
I. Tavares
A. Latkovic
A. Latkovic
HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
T. Silic
G
28
R. Brajkovic
↓ 73' 🟨 18'
D
31
Z. Sarlija
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
D
15
D. Maresic
🎯 45'
D
17
D. Melnjak
↓ 61'
D
8
N. Sigur
🟨 8'
M
4
A. Pajaziti
M
30
I. Almena
M
21
R. Pukstas
⚽ 45' ↓ 82'
M
11
M. Sego
↓ 73'
M
10
M. Livaja
🎯 90'
F
Substitutes
44
D. Stipica
G
1
I. Ivusic
G
7
A. Kalik
M
6
H. Guillamon
M
32
S. Hrgovic
↑ 61'
D
37
N. Skoko
M
34
B. Durdov
F
26
A. Guram
↑ 73'
M
5
I. Diallo
D
24
A. Sanyang
⚽ 90' ↑ 82'
F
38
L. Hodak
↑ 73'
D
3
R. Gabric
↑ 46'
D
NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
J. Silic
G
23
F. Maglica
D
2
S. Lesjak
⚽ 27'
D
44
M. Barac
↓ 46'
D
25
A. Borsic
D
8
T. Duvnjak
↓ 69'
M
6
D. Puclin
↓ 46'
M
7
M. Vuk
🎯 21' ↓ 78'
M
22
L. Mamic
↓ 82'
M
38
I. Tavares
M
10
A. Latkovic
⚽ 21'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Zelenika
G
12
P. Bockaj
↑ 78'
D
13
M. Mladenovski
↑ 46' 🟥 90+3'
D
15
S. Ilinkovic
↑ 46'
M
28
I. Canjuga
↑ 69'
F
18
Paizinho
↑ 82'
F
20
G. Sikosek
D
24
M. Marina
M
16
N. Tepsic
D
30
L. Posinkovic
D
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
23.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos
2
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Celje
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
23.06.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Shkendija
4
0
W
22.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
W
16.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
0
1
L
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
3
1
W
21.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
0
W
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
28.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
15.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
09.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
H2H: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin
03.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
28.02.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
29.11.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
L
18.04.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
27.02.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
5
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
W
22.04.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
11.02.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
4
W
Last matches: HNK Hajduk Split
23.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
HNK Hajduk Split
Žilina
2
0
W
22.05.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
6
3
W
21.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
0
1
L
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
07.02.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
25.01.26
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Siroki Brijeg
2
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
HNK Hajduk Split
Posušje
4
0
W
21.12.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Vukovar
2
1
W
29.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
08.11.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
2
0
W
27.09.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
20.09.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
31.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
17.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Slaven Belupo
3
0
W
10.08.25
HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
H2H at home: HNK Hajduk Split
03.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
29.11.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
27.02.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
5
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
0
W
Last matches: NK Varazdin
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
15.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Križevci
0
3
L
14.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
31.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
26.01.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Emirates Club
4
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Ittifaq
4
2
W
12.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
0
2
L
29.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
02.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0
0
D
19.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
03.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0
1
L
H2H away: NK Varazdin
03.05.26
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
L
29.11.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
0
1
W
27.02.24
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
5
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
3
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
2
0
L

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation