HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
60%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HNK Hajduk Split
36 matches
NK Varazdin
34 matches
| HNK Hajduk Split | Statistic | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 57 | Goals For | 43 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.81 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 13.11 | Total Shots | 10.38 |
| 4.72 | Corners | 3.44 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 41.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features HNK Hajduk Split's more proactive style and NK Varazdin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NK Varazdin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Hajduk Split expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NK Varazdin in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Varazdin having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Placed 2 with 61 points from 32 outings, HNK Hajduk Split continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 51:29 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Sego (11 goals), Marko Livaja (9 goals), Rokas Pukštas (8 goals), with creative support from Marko Livaja (5 assists), A. Rebic (5 assists), M. Sego (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
NK Varazdin come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 47 points after 32 matches. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 41:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (7 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (6 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 7 times, NK Varazdin won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from HNK Hajduk Split's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 93:28 | 65 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
Home
|
36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 61:36 | 25 | 68 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 3 |
NK Varazdin
Away
|
36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 54 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 4 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 53 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 40:52 | -12 | 44 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:50 | -11 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 46:61 | -15 | 41 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40:48 | -8 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 35 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 37:73 | -36 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
D
|