CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Referee: P. Pavlesic
HNK Gorica
Match Timeline
NK Osijek
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
B. Bogojevic · Assist: Z. Trontelj
HNK Gorica
12'
A. Erceg
HNK Gorica
🟨
13'
Nail Omerović
NK Osijek
🟨
28'
Iker Pozo
HNK Gorica
VAR
42'
Luka Jelenić
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
F. Karacic ↔ M. Jovicic
NK Osijek
🔄
46'
S. Akere ↔ J. Jezic
NK Osijek
🟨
60'
Bruno Bogojević
HNK Gorica
🔄
64'
B. Bogojevic ↔ L. Vrzic
HNK Gorica
🔄
64'
L. Vrbancic ↔ O. Petrusenko
NK Osijek
🔄
64'
D. Colina ↔ E. Hasic
NK Osijek
🟨
69'
Jurica Pršir
HNK Gorica
🔄
78'
A. Jakupovic ↔ I. Baric
NK Osijek
🔄
82'
J. Prsir ↔ Z. Josic
HNK Gorica
🔄
82'
D. Pavicic ↔ S. Kucis
HNK Gorica
🔄
89'
O. Bakic ↔ T. Epailly
HNK Gorica
🔄
89'
A. Erceg ↔ M. Kelava
HNK Gorica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
HNK Gorica Win 52.6%
Draw 14.8%
NK Osijek Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Gorica1.22
NK Osijek0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
WWDLW
38 GF / 46 GA
NK Osijek NK Osijek
WLDWL
25 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
18
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
11
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 matches
NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 matches
HNK Gorica Statistic NK Osijek
10 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
16 Losses 16
38 Goals For 25
46 Goals Against 47
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
18 BTTS Yes 11
24 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 16
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.24
10.47 Total Shots 11.44
4.26 Corners 4.38
45% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HNK Gorica expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and NK Osijek in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Osijek having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward NK Osijek. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

HNK Gorica Analysis

HNK Gorica sit 8 with 38 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 38:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jurica Pršir (7 goals), A. Erceg (5 goals), F. Cuic (4 goals), with creative support from Iker Pozo (6 assists), Marijan Čabraja (4 assists), Jurica Pršir (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Osijek Analysis

NK Osijek approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 32 points from 34 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 16 defeats with a 25:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nail Omerović (8 goals), A. Jakupovic (3 goals), L. Jelenic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Colina (3 assists), S. Mikolcic (2 assists), Roko Jurišić (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Gorica won 5 times, NK Osijek won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from HNK Gorica's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1 / NK Osijek 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: HNK Gorica wins 5, draws 3, NK Osijek wins 7
Stats
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
NK Osijek NK Osijek
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
6
4 Corner Kicks 9
11 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 5
0 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 6
5 Shots insidebox 10
0 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
340 Total passes 472
262 Passes accurate 409
0.61 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HNK Gorica
Formation
NK Osijek
D. Matijas
D. Matijas
Z. Trontelj
🎯
Z. Trontelj
S. Peric
S. Peric
H. I. Moustapha
H. I. Moustapha
B. Bogojevic
B. Bogojevic
I. Pozo
I. Pozo
A. Kavelj
A. Kavelj
O. Bakic
O. Bakic
J. Prsir
J. Prsir
D. Pavicic
D. Pavicic
A. Erceg
A. Erceg
M. Malenica
M. Malenica
F. Karacic
F. Karacic
L. Jelenic
L. Jelenic
D. Colina
D. Colina
R. Jurisic
R. Jurisic
L. Vrbancic
L. Vrbancic
V. Bubanja
V. Bubanja
D. Bukvic
D. Bukvic
S. Akere
S. Akere
N. Omerovic
N. Omerovic
A. Jakupovic
A. Jakupovic
HNK Gorica 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
71
D. Matijas
G
22
Z. Trontelj
🎯 5'
D
45
S. Peric
D
21
H. I. Moustapha
25
B. Bogojevic
⚽ 5' ↓ 64' 🟨 60'
M
8
I. Pozo
🟨 28'
M
36
A. Kavelj
D
7
O. Bakic
↓ 89'
M
10
J. Prsir
↓ 82' 🟨 69'
M
24
D. Pavicic
↓ 82'
M
50
A. Erceg
⚽ 12' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
30
D. Zarkov
G
1
M. Sahinovic
G
18
I. Fiolic
M
19
M. Cabraja
D
35
Z. Josic
↑ 82'
D
64
T. Epailly
↑ 89'
F
4
J. Filipovic
D
32
E. Durakovic
D
11
W. Sule
F
20
L. Vrzic
↑ 64'
F
14
S. Kucis
↑ 82'
M
77
M. Kelava
↑ 89'
M
NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
M. Malenica
G
29
F. Karacic
↓ 46'
D
26
L. Jelenic
D
38
D. Colina
↓ 64'
D
22
R. Jurisic
D
23
L. Vrbancic
↓ 64'
M
21
V. Bubanja
M
39
D. Bukvic
M
57
S. Akere
↓ 46'
M
11
N. Omerovic
🟨 13'
M
17
A. Jakupovic
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Curcija
G
5
J. Mersinaj
D
46
I. Baric
↑ 78'
F
16
O. Petrusenko
↑ 64'
M
99
T. Teklic
M
33
E. Hasic
↑ 64'
D
49
I. Kolarik
D
98
M. Jovicic
↑ 46'
F
48
J. Jezic
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: HNK Gorica
23.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Göztepe
0
2
L
09.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Brežice
5
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
10.05.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
02.05.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
27.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
2
1
W
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
03.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
4
0
W
14.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
0
D
07.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
2
4
L
21.02.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
2
0
W
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
0
0
D
Last matches: NK Osijek
25.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Rizespor
1
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
HNK Cibalia
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Budapest Honved
2
1
W
13.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Neftchi Baku
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Paks
0
4
L
22.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
10.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
0
1
L
02.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
0
1
L
25.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
12.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
04.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
7
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
14.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
06.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
0
W
21.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
15.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
H2H: HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek
16.05.26
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
13.12.25
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
28.09.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
0
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
1
0
W
02.11.24
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
2
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
3
L
18.02.24
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
3
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
3
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
1
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
2
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: HNK Gorica
23.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Göztepe
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
02.05.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
27.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
4
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
0
0
D
31.01.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
26.01.26
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
0
W
13.01.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Radomlje
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
HNK Gorica
Koper
1
1
D
01.12.25
HNL
HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
23.11.25
HNL
HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1
0
W
07.11.25
HNL
HNK Gorica
Vukovar
1
1
D
03.11.25
HNL
HNK Gorica
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
1
W
24.10.25
HNL
HNK Gorica
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
H2H at home: HNK Gorica
16.05.26
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
L
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
1
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
3
L
04.11.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
3
0
W
08.04.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
L
Last matches: NK Osijek
13.07.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Neftchi Baku
1
0
W
02.05.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
0
1
L
21.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
1
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
04.04.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
0
7
L
22.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
0
0
D
06.03.26
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
0
W
21.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
3
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Gyori ETO FC
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
NK Osijek
Başakşehir
1
1
D
28.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Vukovar
2
2
D
08.11.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
27.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
2
4
L
18.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
04.10.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
1
2
L
28.09.25
HNL
NK Osijek
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
21.09.25
HNL
NK Osijek
Istra 1961
1
2
L
31.08.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
17.08.25
HNL
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
H2H away: NK Osijek
16.05.26
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
W
08.02.25
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
2
D
28.04.24
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
3
W
04.11.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
3
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
2
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
HNK Gorica
NK Osijek
0
1
W

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation