Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
45.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
19 matches
VPS
19 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 32 | Goals For | 26 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 1.67 | Shots On Goal | 1.87 |
| 4.67 | Total Shots | 4.2 |
| 1.6 | Corners | 1.87 |
| 21.5% | Ball Possession | 27.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VPS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and VPS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.
HJK Helsinki arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 22 points after 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 25:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
VPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 22:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on L. Smyth (3 goals), with creative support from J. Muzinga (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, VPS won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
SJK
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Turku PS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
VPS
Away
|
15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|