Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
16 matches
KuPS
16 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | KuPS |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 28 | Goals For | 22 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.08 | Shots On Goal | 3.15 |
| 5.67 | Total Shots | 7.69 |
| 1.92 | Corners | 3.15 |
| 23.3% | Ball Possession | 28.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-3-3 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 19 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 21:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Borchers (6 goals), T. Pukki (3 goals), A. Cicale (2 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (3 assists), D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 24 points from 13 games, KuPS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (7 goals), O. Ruoppi (5 goals), B. Armah (4 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), P. Pennanen (2 assists), G. Engvall (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 3 times, KuPS won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Lausanne
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Jagiellonia
KuPS
Breidablik
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
KuPS
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
KuPS
Away
|
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|