Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
17 matches
KuPS
17 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | KuPS |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 32 | Goals For | 26 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 1.92 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 5.23 | Total Shots | 8.07 |
| 1.77 | Corners | 3.21 |
| 21.5% | Ball Possession | 30% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-3-3 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 19 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 21:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Borchers (6 goals), T. Pukki (3 goals), A. Cicale (2 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (3 assists), D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 3 place with 24 points from 13 games, KuPS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (7 goals), O. Ruoppi (5 goals), B. Armah (4 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), P. Pennanen (2 assists), G. Engvall (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 3 times, KuPS won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
Away
|
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38:22 | 16 | 43 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 39 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 18 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:43 | -28 | 11 |
W
W
L
L
D
|