Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
76.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Hibernian
Motherwell
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hibernian
43 matches
Motherwell
37 matches
| Hibernian | Statistic | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 15 |
| 14 | Draws | 13 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 68 | Goals For | 58 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 11.19 | Total Shots | 13.16 |
| 4.49 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 58.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Motherwell in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Motherwell having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Motherwell. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Hibernian sit 5 with 54 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats with a 56:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. McGrath (8 goals), K. Bowie (8 goals), M. Boyle (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Mulligan (5 assists), N. Cadden (5 assists), J. McGrath (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Motherwell approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 58 points from 36 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 56:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Maswanhise (17 goals), E. Longelo (8 goals), E. Just (7 goals), with creative support from C. Slattery (8 assists), E. Just (7 assists), E. Longelo (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 6 times, Motherwell won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Hibernian's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Hibernian
1
6
6
7
4
1
Lineups
Hibernian
Malisheva
Hibernian
Brondby
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
Rangers
Hibernian
Falkirk
Hibernian
Celtic
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Motherwell
Hibernian
Livingston
Hibernian
Dundee
Hibernian
Celtic
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Rangers
Hibernian
Falkirk
Hibernian
Motherwell
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Motherwell
Genk
Motherwell
Aarhus
Motherwell
Celtic
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Falkirk
Motherwell
Rangers
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Falkirk
Motherwell
Hibernian
Motherwell
Celtic
Motherwell
Dundee
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Rangers
Motherwell
Livingston
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Hibernian
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Brondby
Hibernian
Celtic
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Livingston
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
Rangers
Hibernian
Motherwell
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Falkirk
Hibernian
Celtic
Hibernian
Dundee
Hibernian
Rangers
Hibernian
Livingston
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
ST Mirren
Hibernian
Legia Warszawa
Hibernian
FK Partizan
Motherwell
Aarhus
Motherwell
Falkirk
Motherwell
Rangers
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Celtic
Motherwell
Dundee
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Livingston
Motherwell
Hibernian
Motherwell
Rangers
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
Falkirk
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Livingston
Motherwell
Celtic
Motherwell
Dundee
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Motherwell
Away
|
33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 5 |
Hibernian
Home
|
33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|