SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
19.09.2026 14:00
Easter Road
Hibernian
Match Timeline
Aberdeen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Kevin Nisbet · Assist: Gavin Molloy
Aberdeen
🟨
34'
Kevin Nisbet
Aberdeen
🟨
59'
Jack Milne
Aberdeen
🔄
59'
Connor Patrick Ronan ↔ Stuart Armstrong
Aberdeen
62'
Martin Boyle
Hibernian
🟨
70'
A. Major
Hibernian
🔄
72'
Owen Elding ↔ Nathan Lowe
Hibernian
🔄
72'
Martin Boyle ↔ Ante Suto
Hibernian
🔄
74'
Toyosi Olusanya ↔ Ayoub Mouloua
Aberdeen
🔄
79'
Callum·Wright ↔ Joe Newell
Hibernian
🔄
80'
Jack Milne ↔ Daniel Happe
Aberdeen
🔄
80'
Findlay Marshall ↔ Alexander Briedl
Aberdeen
🟨
84'
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
Hibernian

Hibernian vs Aberdeen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.9%
1.18
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.76
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 44.2%
Draw 24.7%
Aberdeen Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.44
Aberdeen1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Aberdeen Aberdeen
WLDWL
12 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
10
BTTS Yes
2
10
Over 2.5
4
3.58
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 15 matches
Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 matches
Hibernian Statistic Aberdeen
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
7 Losses 5
22 Goals For 12
20 Goals Against 14
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
10 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 6
10 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
3.58 Shots On Goal 2.67
9.92 Total Shots 10
5.08 Corners 4.5
40.8% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aberdeen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hibernian expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Aberdeen in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aberdeen having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hibernian Analysis

Hibernian sit 8 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Boyle (2 goals), C. Wright (2 goals), N. Lowe (1 goals), with creative support from N. Lowe (1 assists), J. Mulligan (1 assists), F. Passlack (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aberdeen Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 10, Aberdeen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 2:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Nisbet (2 goals), with creative support from L. Mayo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 7 times, Aberdeen won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Hibernian's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 4-1-4-1 / Aberdeen 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 7, draws 3, Aberdeen wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 14:4 10 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 8:4 4 16
W W W W W
3 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
D L W W W
4 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
5 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
L L L W D
6 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D L W D L
7 7 2 2 3 7:8 -1 8
D W D L L
8 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W D L W L
9 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
L L L W D
10 7 2 1 4 8:11 -3 7
D L L L W
11 7 1 3 3 6:9 -3 6
D W D L L
12 7 1 2 4 6:15 -9 5
D W D L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)