CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: M. Souare
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
York United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
J. Altobelli · Assist: L. Accettola
York United
35'
I. Johnston · Assist: V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
56'
S. Gonzales
York United
🔄
60'
S. Gonzales ↔ T. Skublak
York United
🔄
60'
L. Accettola ↔ K. Kibato
York United
🔄
65'
Y. Bai ↔ M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
68'
J. Cordova ↔ A. Almagro
York United
🟨
71'
M. Godinho
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
71'
V. Akinwale ↔ C. Kachwele
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
73'
K. Kibato
York United
🔄
76'
S. Jimoh ↔ O. Bassett
York United
🟨
77'
F. Linder
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
89'
S. Zitman ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
89'
R. Telfer ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
89'
F. Linder ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 16.8%
Draw 28.8%
York United Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC0.87
York United1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
1.5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 7 matches
York United York United 6 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic York United
1 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 0
7 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
1.5 Shots On Goal 3
4.33 Total Shots 5.2
1.83 Corners 1.4
23.5% Ball Possession 18.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by York United's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 3-5-2 and York United in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward York United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HFX Wanderers FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. York United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors York United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 5 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Johnston (3 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), K. Sow (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

York United Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 11 points from 5 games, York United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Altobelli (3 goals), T. Skublak (3 goals), G. Bitar (1 goals), with creative support from A. Almagro (1 assists), B. Badibanga (1 assists), Juan Córdova (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 5 times, York United won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 3-5-2 / York United 3-4-3
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 5, draws 5, York United wins 5

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
York United
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
F. Linder
F. Linder
K. Sow
K. Sow
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
Y. Bai
Y. Bai
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
V. Akinwale
🎯
V. Akinwale
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
O. Leon
O. Leon
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
L. Accettola
🎯
L. Accettola
S. Yeates
S. Yeates
J. Cordova
J. Cordova
S. Jimoh
S. Jimoh
S. Gonzales
S. Gonzales
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
21
J. Alphonse
2
F. Linder
↓ 89' 🟨 77'
16
K. Sow
28
M. Godinho
🟨 71'
10
Y. Bai
↓ 65'
8
I. Johnston
⚽ 35'
6
L. Callegari
22
S. Zitman
↓ 89'
7
R. Telfer
↓ 89'
9
V. Akinwale
🎯 35' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
23
M. Arilla
↑ 65'
5
L. Olguin
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 89'
24
C. Kachwele
↑ 71'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↑ 89'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 89'
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
6
R. Lopez
8
C. Guzman
4
O. Leon
16
M. Ferrari
13
L. Accettola
🎯 22' ↓ 60'
7
S. Yeates
23
J. Cordova
↓ 68'
19
S. Jimoh
↓ 76'
9
S. Gonzales
↓ 60' 🟨 56'
18
J. Altobelli
⚽ 22'
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
77
T. Skublak
↑ 60'
20
G. Bitar
21
K. Kibato
↑ 60' 🟨 73'
39
B. Badibanga
10
O. Bassett
↑ 76'
11
A. Almagro
↑ 68'
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: York United
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs York United
23.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
11.04.26
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
01.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
4
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
W
19.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
W
02.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
W
06.07.24
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
24.05.24
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
04.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
2
L
30.07.23
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
0
2
W
21.06.23
H2H
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
20.05.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
0
3
L
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
23.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
22.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
01.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
4
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
W
02.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
W
04.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
2
L
20.05.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
0
3
L
Last matches: York United
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
H2H away: York United
23.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
22.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
01.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
4
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
L
02.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
1
L
04.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
2
W
20.05.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
0
3
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 15:4 11 25
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W L W W
3 10 4 2 4 15:18 -3 14
W L D W W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 12
L L L D W
5 9 3 2 4 13:14 -1 11
L D W D L
6 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
W W L D L
7 10 2 3 5 9:14 -5 9
L L W D L
8 10 0 3 7 10:20 -10 3
L D D L L
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)