CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: R. Villanueva
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Eric Lajeunesse
HFX Wanderers FC
32'
Miguel Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
34'
Marco Bustos · Assist: Yann Régis Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
46'
Kareem Sow ↔ Francesco Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
57'
Ronan Kratt ↔ Matthew Baldisimo
Pacific FC
🟨
58'
Lucas Olguin
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
63'
Lorenzo Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
64'
Taras Gomulka · Assist: Alejandro Díaz
Pacific FC
68'
Kadin Chung
HFX Wanderers FC
74'
Isaiah Johnston · Assist: Miguel Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
Miguel Arilla ↔ Ryan Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
Cyprian Kachwele ↔ Tavio Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
79'
Marco Bustos ↔ Aidan Daniels
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
Alejandro Díaz ↔ Bul Juach
Pacific FC
🔄
82'
Lucas Olguin ↔ Andre Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
85'
Eric Lajeunesse ↔ Juan David Quintana
Pacific FC
🔄
85'
Josh Heard ↔ Mattias Vales
Pacific FC
90+4'
Tavio Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
90+1'
Ryan Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
90'
Isaiah Johnston ↔ Jason Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 62.7%
Draw 15.3%
Pacific FC Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.29
Pacific FC1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
9 GF / 14 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
1
Shots on Goal
0.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 11 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 10 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Pacific FC
2 Wins 0
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 7
9 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 20
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
1 Shots On Goal 0.7
2.9 Total Shots 3
1.2 Corners 1.3
17.9% Ball Possession 20%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HFX Wanderers FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 9 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pacific FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 7 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

With 3 points from 10 games and a place of 8, Pacific FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 10:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Diaz (2 goals), M. Bustos (2 goals), Y. R. Toualy (2 goals), with creative support from R. Kratt (2 assists), A. Diaz (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 4 times, Pacific FC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:25 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1 / Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 4, draws 5, Pacific FC wins 6