CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wanderers Grounds
Referee: R. Villanueva
HFX Wanderers FC
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
E. Lajeunesse
HFX Wanderers FC
32'
M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
34'
M. Bustos · Assist: Y. R. Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
46'
K. Sow ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
57'
R. Kratt ↔ M. Baldisimo
Pacific FC
🟨
58'
Lucas Olguin
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
63'
Lorenzo Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
64'
T. Gomulka · Assist: A. Diaz
Pacific FC
68'
K. Chung
HFX Wanderers FC
74'
I. Johnston · Assist: M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
M. Arilla ↔ R. Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
75'
C. Kachwele ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
79'
M. Bustos ↔ A. Daniels
Pacific FC
🔄
79'
A. Diaz ↔ B. Juach
Pacific FC
🔄
82'
L. Olguin ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
85'
E. Lajeunesse ↔ J. Quintana
Pacific FC
🔄
85'
J. Heard ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC
VAR
90+1'
Ryan Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
90+2'
I. Johnston ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
90'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 62.7%
Draw 15.3%
Pacific FC Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.29
Pacific FC1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
9 GF / 14 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
1
Shots on Goal
0.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 11 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 10 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Pacific FC
2 Wins 0
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 7
9 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 20
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
1 Shots On Goal 0.7
2.9 Total Shots 3
1.2 Corners 1.3
17.9% Ball Possession 20%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. HFX Wanderers FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 9 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pacific FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 7 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

With 3 points from 10 games and a place of 8, Pacific FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 10:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Diaz (2 goals), M. Bustos (2 goals), Y. R. Toualy (2 goals), with creative support from R. Kratt (2 assists), A. Diaz (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 5 times, Pacific FC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:22 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1 / Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 5, draws 5, Pacific FC wins 5
Stats
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC Pacific FC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
517 Total passes 522
453 Passes accurate 447
2.37 expected_goals 2.73
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
Formation
Pacific FC
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
F. Linder
F. Linder
K. Sow
K. Sow
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
M. Arilla
🎯
M. Arilla
C. Kachwele
C. Kachwele
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
E. Himaras
E. Himaras
J. Heard
J. Heard
D. Konincks
D. Konincks
E. Lajeunesse
E. Lajeunesse
T. Marshall
T. Marshall
K. Chung
K. Chung
T. Gomulka
T. Gomulka
R. Kratt
R. Kratt
M. Bustos
M. Bustos
Y. R. Toualy
🎯
Y. R. Toualy
A. Diaz
🎯
A. Diaz
HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
G
21
J. Alphonse
D
2
F. Linder
D
16
K. Sow
↓ 46'
D
28
M. Godinho
D
6
L. Callegari
🟨 63'
M
5
L. Olguin
↓ 82' 🟨 58'
M
22
S. Zitman
M
23
M. Arilla
⚽ 32' 🎯 74' ↓ 75'
F
24
C. Kachwele
↓ 75'
8
I. Johnston
⚽ 74' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
7
R. Telfer
↑ 75'
F
9
V. Akinwale
F
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 82'
M
14
J. Bahamboula
↑ 90+2'
20
T. Ciccarelli
⚽ 90' ↑ 75'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 46'
D
Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Himaras
G
11
J. Heard
↓ 85'
D
4
D. Konincks
D
3
E. Lajeunesse
⚽ 26' ↓ 85'
D
2
T. Marshall
D
7
K. Chung
⚽ 68'
M
16
T. Gomulka
⚽ 64'
M
27
R. Kratt
↓ 57'
10
M. Bustos
⚽ 34' ↓ 79'
M
64
Y. R. Toualy
🎯 34'
9
A. Diaz
🎯 64' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
55
S. Melvin
G
8
A. Daniels
↑ 79'
M
19
B. Juach
↑ 79'
F
5
J. Quintana
↑ 85'
D
37
M. Vales
↑ 85'
33
M. Baldisimo
↑ 57'
M
15
C. Greco-Taylor
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
Last matches: Pacific FC
08.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
26.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
3
L
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H: HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC
05.07.26
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
W
26.06.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
12.07.25
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
18.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
08.09.24
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
L
08.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
14.10.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
1
L
09.09.23
H2H
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
07.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
1
2
L
11.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H at home: HFX Wanderers FC
26.06.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
18.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
08.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
0
D
14.10.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
1
L
07.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
1
2
L
11.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Pacific FC
26.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
H2H away: Pacific FC
26.06.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
3
1
L
18.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
08.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
0
D
14.10.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
0
1
W
07.08.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
1
2
W
11.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 23:9 14 35
L D W W W
2 16 10 4 2 31:9 22 34
D W W L D
3 16 8 2 6 25:16 9 26
W W W W W
4 16 7 3 6 25:29 -4 24
W L W D L
5 15 5 3 7 22:27 -5 18
D W L W L
6 17 4 5 8 21:26 -5 17
L D L D W
7 14 3 5 6 16:31 -15 14
D L L D L
8 15 0 4 11 17:33 -16 4
D L L L L