Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.8%
|
1.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.34 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hertha BSC
15 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
14 matches
| Hertha BSC | Statistic | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 6 |
| 57 | Goals For | 23 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 3.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.83 |
| 19.17 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 5 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hertha BSC's more proactive style and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Hertha BSC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 12 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hertha BSC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hertha BSC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Hertha BSC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 6 matches. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 17:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Brekalo (4 goals), J. Þorsteinsson (3 goals), O. Adewumi (3 goals), with creative support from J. Brekalo (3 assists), Marten Winkler (2 assists), M. Pedersen (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are currently 12 in the standings with 6 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Klaus (3 goals), O. Sillah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Srbeny (2 assists), F. Klaus (1 assists), J. Dehm (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hertha BSC won 5 times, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Hertha BSC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha BSC
Home
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | 10 | 17 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 8 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
D
L
D
L
|