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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
11.10.2026 11:30
Olympiastadion
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Hertha BSC
Match Timeline
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
60'
Linus Jasper Gechter
Hertha BSC
VAR
62'
Omar Sillah
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
64'
Jan Luca Schuler ↔ Gustaf Nilsson
Hertha BSC
🔄
64'
Oluwaseun Adewumi ↔ Farid Alfa-Ruprecht
Hertha BSC
⚽
65'
Mads Valentin Pedersen · Assist: Josip Brekalo
Hertha BSC
🔄
66'
Shinta Karl Appelkamp ↔ Faton Ademi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
72'
Julian Eitschberger
Hertha BSC
🔄
75'
Sacha Banse ↔ Jordan Siebatcheu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
76'
Mads Valentin Pedersen ↔ Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Hertha BSC
⚽
80'
Paul Seguin · Assist: Josip Brekalo
Hertha BSC
🔄
81'
Ole Pohlmann ↔ Olgherto Balliu
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
81'
Omar Sillah ↔ Dennis Srbeny
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
81'
Lukas Reich ↔ Aaron Keller
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
87'
Kevin Sessa ↔ Pascal Klemens
Hertha BSC
🔄
87'
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson ↔ Soufian gouram
Hertha BSC
⚽
90'
Jannis Heuer · Assist: Aaron Keller
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
1.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.34 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hertha BSC Win 66.8%
Draw 3.6%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hertha BSC2.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hertha BSC Hertha BSC
WWDLW
57 GF / 19 GA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
3.8
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
12
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
7
6.33
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 15 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 14 matches
Hertha BSC Statistic SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
1 Losses 6
57 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 23
3.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 7
11 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 5
6.33 Shots On Goal 5.83
19.17 Total Shots 14
5.67 Corners 5
48.5% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Hertha BSC's more proactive style and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Hertha BSC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 12 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hertha BSC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SpVgg Greuther Fürth having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hertha BSC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hertha BSC Analysis

Hertha BSC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 6 matches. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 17:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Brekalo (4 goals), J. Þorsteinsson (3 goals), O. Adewumi (3 goals), with creative support from J. Brekalo (3 assists), Marten Winkler (2 assists), M. Pedersen (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Analysis

SpVgg Greuther Fürth are currently 12 in the standings with 6 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Klaus (3 goals), O. Sillah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Srbeny (2 assists), F. Klaus (1 assists), J. Dehm (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hertha BSC won 5 times, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Hertha BSC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1 / SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Hertha BSC wins 5, draws 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 2

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 19:8 11 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 2 0 20:10 10 17
D W W D W
3 7 4 2 1 14:12 2 14
D D W W W
4 7 4 1 2 14:9 5 13
W D W L W
5 7 3 3 1 19:12 7 12
D W L D W
6 7 3 3 1 6:4 2 12
D W L W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
W D W D L
8 7 2 2 3 15:16 -1 8
L D W D L
9 7 2 2 3 11:12 -1 8
W D L D L
10 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L W W
11 7 2 1 4 13:13 0 7
W L D L L
12 7 2 1 4 5:7 -2 7
L L D W L
13 7 2 1 4 7:12 -5 7
L W L D W
14 7 2 1 4 8:14 -6 7
W L W L L
15 7 1 3 3 10:13 -3 6
L D D L W
16 7 1 2 4 9:15 -6 5
D L D L L
17 7 1 2 4 6:14 -8 5
L L L D L
18 7 0 4 3 7:11 -4 4
L D L D L
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