CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 57.5%
Draw 5.2%
Dalian Zhixing Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.52
Dalian Zhixing1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
25 GF / 24 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
31 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
11
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
14
4
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 19 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 21 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Dalian Zhixing
8 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
8 Losses 11
25 Goals For 31
24 Goals Against 38
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 14
2 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 5.11
11.68 Total Shots 14.79
5.37 Corners 6.16
50.6% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Dalian Zhixing carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 28 points while Henan Jianye sit 12 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Henan Jianye have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dalian Zhixing. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye sit 12 with 18 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 23:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Nazário (3 goals), Gustavo (2 goals), Iago Maidana (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (1 assists), Shangyuan Wang (1 assists), Maranhão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Dalian Zhixing approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 28 points after 18 outings. The return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 28:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 1 times, Dalian Zhixing won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 1, draws 1, Dalian Zhixing wins 2
Last matches: Henan Jianye
26.07.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
17.07.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
5
1
W
03.07.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
1
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
30.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Tianjin Teda
2
1
W
15.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chengdu Better City
0
3
L
05.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
0
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
1
W
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
13.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
1
4
L
07.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
3
5
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Akron
1
2
L
H2H: Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing
21.07.26
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
L
24.08.25
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
4
0
W
16.04.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
1
0
L
Last matches: Henan Jianye
17.07.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Qingdao Jonoon
5
1
W
27.06.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
30.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Hangzhou Greentown
0
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
0
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
H2H at home: Henan Jianye
21.07.26
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
4
0
W
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
13.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
1
4
L
07.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
3
5
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Akron
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
H2H away: Dalian Zhixing
21.07.26
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
4
0
L

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 4 2 39:18 21 43
D D D W W
2 20 7 8 5 23:22 1 29
L D D L W
3 18 9 1 8 28:32 -4 28
W W L L W
4 20 6 10 4 24:29 -5 28
W D L W W
5 19 7 4 8 36:35 1 25
D L W L D
6 19 9 3 7 35:34 1 24
L W L W L
7 18 7 6 5 30:24 6 22
D W W W L
8 19 7 5 7 27:32 -5 21
D W L L W
9 19 6 3 10 25:31 -6 21
L D W L W
10 19 6 2 11 25:33 -8 20
L W L L W
11 19 8 5 6 36:31 5 19
L L W W D
12 19 6 6 7 30:26 4 19
W D L W L
13 18 7 3 8 23:23 0 18
W L L L W
14 19 6 6 7 26:22 4 14
W W W L W
15 19 4 7 8 27:34 -7 14
W W L L D
16 20 6 3 11 30:38 -8 14
L L L D W
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One