Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Helmond Sport
NAC Breda
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Helmond Sport
16 matches
NAC Breda
16 matches
| Helmond Sport | Statistic | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 28 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 6.4 |
| 11.7 | Total Shots | 20.6 |
| 3.9 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward NAC Breda. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Helmond Sport expected to line up in 4-4-2 and NAC Breda in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NAC Breda having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. NAC Breda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 14 points while Helmond Sport sit 14 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Helmond Sport sit 14 with 9 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mauro Lenaerts (3 goals), T. Essakkati (2 goals), S. Dekkers (2 goals), with creative support from T. Essakkati (2 assists), Xander van der Velde (2 assists), H. Ingason (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
NAC Breda are currently 9 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Brym (4 goals), P. Gladon (4 goals), M. Soumano (3 goals), with creative support from M. Nassoh (3 assists), B. Lucassen (2 assists), G. Misehouy (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Helmond Sport won 3 times, NAC Breda won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Helmond Sport's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 19 | 25 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 22 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 4 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
NAC Breda
Away
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 4 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Helmond Sport
Home
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | -14 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|