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ITALY › SERIE B
16.10.2026 18:30
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.4%
1.82 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hellas Verona Win 76.4%
Draw 4.8%
Catanzaro Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hellas Verona2.19
Catanzaro1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WWDLW
33 GF / 16 GA
Catanzaro Catanzaro
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.54
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
10
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
7
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 13 matches
Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 matches
Hellas Verona Statistic Catanzaro
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
33 Goals For 14
16 Goals Against 15
2.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 8
11 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 3.71
14.88 Total Shots 13.86
5.13 Corners 4.43
52.9% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hellas Verona's more proactive style and Catanzaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Catanzaro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hellas Verona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Catanzaro in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Catanzaro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Hellas Verona arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 7 points compared to Catanzaro in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Catanzaro.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona sit 8 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Mulattieri (2 goals), A. Sarr (2 goals), D. Mosquera (2 goals), with creative support from A. Le Borgne (2 assists), D. Bradarić (2 assists), S. Mulattieri (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Catanzaro Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 18, Catanzaro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through P. Iemmello (2 goals), B. Verrengia (1 goals), Marco D'Alessandro (1 goals), with creative support from G. Alesi (1 assists), Matias Antonini (1 assists), A. Candela (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Hellas Verona won 1 times, Catanzaro won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Hellas Verona's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Hellas Verona 4-2-3-1 / Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Hellas Verona wins 1, draws 0, Catanzaro wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation