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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
04.10.2025 19:00
Heerenveen
FT
2 - 1
Excelsior
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Referee: Richard Martens, Netherlands
Heerenveen
Match Timeline
Excelsior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
I. Yegoian
Excelsior
🔄
59'
D. Sanches Fernandes ↔ S. Mitrovic
Excelsior
🔄
59'
S. Wlodarczyk ↔ M. van Duinen
Excelsior
🟨
65'
Vasilios Zagaritis
Heerenveen
🔄
71'
N. Naujoks ↔ C. Nadje
Excelsior
🔄
72'
M. Rivera ↔ V. Sejk
Heerenveen
🟨
75'
Chris-Kévin Nadje
Excelsior
🟨
81'
Gyan de Regt
Excelsior
🔄
87'
M. Linday ↔ S. Kersten
Heerenveen
🔄
87'
V. Zagaritis ↔ H. Petrov
Heerenveen
🟨
88'
Mike van Duinen
Excelsior
⚽
89'
D. Vente
Heerenveen
🟨
90+5'
Václav Sejk
Heerenveen
🔄
90+6'
O. Braude ↔ M. Egbring
Heerenveen
⚽
90'
S. Kersten · Assist: L. Brouwers
Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen1.71
Excelsior1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
4.57
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen Heerenveen 7 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 7 matches
Heerenveen Statistic Excelsior
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 0
3 Losses 5
10 Goals For 6
12 Goals Against 15
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
6 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
4.57 Shots On Goal 4.29
15.14 Total Shots 12.43
5.57 Corners 3.71
50.7% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 8 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 8, draws 2, Excelsior wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
PSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2
Feyenoord
34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3
NEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4
Twente
34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5
Ajax
34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6
Utrecht
34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7
AZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8
Heerenveen Home
34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9
Groningen
34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11
Fortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13
Excelsior Away
34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14
Telstar
34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15
PEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16
FC Volendam
34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17
NAC Breda
34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18
Heracles
34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie