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31.01.2027 11:15
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Heerenveen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen2
Ajax2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Heerenveen Heerenveen
W W L W D
11 GF / 4 GA
Ajax Ajax
W W W L D
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
2.56
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
20
10
Over 2.5
20
5.8
Shots on Goal
8.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Heerenveen Heerenveen 14 matches
Ajax Ajax 27 matches
Heerenveen Statistic Ajax
7 Wins 17
4 Draws 6
3 Losses 4
35 Goals For 69
23 Goals Against 34
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.56
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
8 BTTS Yes 20
12 Over 1.5 24
10 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 17
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
5.8 Shots On Goal 8.28
15.3 Total Shots 22.22
4.8 Corners 7.5
52.2% Ball Possession 62.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen won 1 times, Ajax won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:41 from Heerenveen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Heerenveen 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Heerenveen wins 1, draws 3, Ajax wins 11

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 3 0 32:11 21 24
D W W W W
2
Ajax Away
10 6 3 1 29:13 16 21
W W D D W
3 10 6 2 2 28:13 15 20
D L W L W
4 10 6 2 2 19:10 9 20
W L D W W
5 10 6 2 2 20:12 8 20
L D L W D
6 10 5 3 2 17:17 0 18
W D D W L
7 10 4 3 3 18:13 5 15
W W L W D
8 10 4 3 3 24:21 3 15
D L W W D
9 10 3 5 2 23:23 0 14
W L D D D
10 10 3 3 4 19:22 -3 12
W D W D W
11 10 3 3 4 17:27 -10 12
D W W L W
12 10 2 5 3 17:18 -1 11
D D D D L
13 10 3 2 5 16:19 -3 11
L L L D L
14 10 2 3 5 17:24 -7 9
L W D L L
15 10 2 2 6 11:23 -12 8
D W L L L
16 10 1 3 6 12:21 -9 6
L L D L D
17 10 1 3 6 13:23 -10 6
L W D D L
18 10 0 2 8 10:32 -22 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie