WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Bridge Meadow Stadium
Referee: A. D. Livesey
Haverfordwest County AFC
Match Timeline
llanelli AFC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
D. Hawkins
Haverfordwest County AFC
12'
B. Ahmun
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
24'
D. Rees
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
25'
D. Williams
llanelli AFC
🟨
27'
A. Pennock
llanelli AFC
🔄
30'
R. Watts ↔ I. Humphreys
Haverfordwest County AFC
39'
D. Hawkins
Haverfordwest County AFC
50'
D. Hawkins
Haverfordwest County AFC
53'
R. Abbruzzese
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
54'
G. Walters ↔ P. Makwiramiti
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
54'
D. Rees ↔ J. Wilson
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
54'
R. Booth ↔ J. Hopkins
llanelli AFC
🔄
64'
K. Kenniford ↔ A. Watkins
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
64'
D. Hawkins ↔ W. Hughes
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
73'
A. Pennock ↔ O. Williams
llanelli AFC
🔄
73'
B. Gibbings ↔ K. Hussein
llanelli AFC
🔄
73'
J. Lester ↔ J. Goddard
llanelli AFC
🔄
78'
M. Evans ↔ S. Parkhouse
llanelli AFC
81'
P. Makwiramiti
Haverfordwest County AFC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
67.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 73.6%
Draw 0%
llanelli AFC Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Haverfordwest County AFC1.8
llanelli AFC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WWDLW
45 GF / 48 GA
llanelli AFC llanelli AFC
WLDWL
17 GF / 76 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.55
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
2.45
14
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 33 matches
llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 31 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Statistic llanelli AFC
13 Wins 3
6 Draws 4
14 Losses 24
45 Goals For 17
48 Goals Against 76
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.55
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 2.45
14 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Haverfordwest County AFC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 24 points compared to llanelli AFC in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward llanelli AFC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward llanelli AFC having the stronger overall control. llanelli AFC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Haverfordwest County AFC have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 30:39 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Ahmun (12 goals), C. Shephard (9 goals), D. Hawkins (4 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

llanelli AFC Analysis

With 8 points from 22 games and a place of 12, llanelli AFC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 12:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Williams (6 goals), S. Cronin (4 goals), E. Cann (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Haverfordwest County AFC won 5 times, llanelli AFC won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Haverfordwest County AFC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Haverfordwest County AFC wins 5, draws 0, llanelli AFC wins 3

Lineups

Haverfordwest County AFC
Formation
llanelli AFC
I. Knott
I. Knott
D. Rees
D. Rees
J. Bacon
J. Bacon
R. Abbruzzese
R. Abbruzzese
K. McCarthy
K. McCarthy
K. Kenniford
K. Kenniford
C. Shephard
C. Shephard
R. Watts
R. Watts
G. Walters
G. Walters
D. Hawkins
⚽ 3
D. Hawkins
B. Ahmun
B. Ahmun
A. Pennock
A. Pennock
S. Cronin
S. Cronin
J. Lester
J. Lester
S. S. Parsons
S. S. Parsons
J. Lloyd
J. Lloyd
M. Power
M. Power
R. Booth
R. Booth
M. Evans
M. Evans
T. Jenkins
T. Jenkins
B. Gibbings
B. Gibbings
D. Williams
D. Williams
Haverfordwest County AFC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
I. Knott
2
D. Rees
↓ 54' 🟨 24'
6
J. Bacon
3
R. Abbruzzese
⚽ 53'
17
K. McCarthy
19
K. Kenniford
↓ 64'
8
C. Shephard
7
R. Watts
↓ 30'
18
G. Walters
↓ 54'
10
D. Hawkins
⚽ 3' ⚽ 39' ⚽ 50' ↓ 64'
28
B. Ahmun
⚽ 12'
Substitutes
31
L. Rees
11
P. Makwiramiti
⚽ 81' ↑ 54'
20
O. Jones
21
A. Watkins
↑ 64'
22
J. Wilson
↑ 54'
23
W. Hughes
↑ 64'
24
I. Humphreys
↑ 30'
llanelli AFC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Pennock
↓ 73' 🟨 27'
4
S. Cronin
20
J. Lester
↓ 73'
14
S. S. Parsons
7
J. Lloyd
16
M. Power
17
R. Booth
↓ 54'
21
M. Evans
↓ 78'
11
T. Jenkins
15
B. Gibbings
↓ 73'
19
D. Williams
🟨 25'
Substitutes
13
O. Williams
↑ 73'
6
J. Hopkins
↑ 54'
10
K. Hussein
↑ 73'
22
J. Baker
5
S. Parkhouse
↑ 78'
18
J. Goddard
↑ 73'
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
02.05.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
3
L
30.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
0
0
D
26.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
4
L
15.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
The New Saints
2
3
L
Last matches: llanelli AFC
03.04.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Bala Town
0
5
L
28.03.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Flint Town United
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Bala Town
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Flint Town United
0
2
L
23.01.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
1
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Barry Town
1
5
L
01.01.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Penybont
0
1
L
26.12.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
3
L
05.12.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
31.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
24.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
The New Saints
0
4
L
11.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Flint Town United
0
4
L
07.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
3
L
H2H: Haverfordwest County AFC vs llanelli AFC
18.04.26
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
6
0
W
20.02.26
H2H
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
W
26.12.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
17.10.25
H2H
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
L
26.09.25
H2H
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
L
13.12.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
0
2
L
03.01.20
H2H
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
W
27.12.19
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
4
1
W
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
28.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
3
L
13.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
3
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
3
L
26.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
15.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
The New Saints
2
3
L
10.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
3
1
W
23.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
08.08.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Haverfordwest County AFC
Floriana
2
3
L
H2H at home: Haverfordwest County AFC
18.04.26
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
6
0
W
26.12.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
13.12.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
0
2
L
27.12.19
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
4
1
W
Last matches: llanelli AFC
28.03.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Flint Town United
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Bala Town
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
1
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
llanelli AFC
Barry Town
1
5
L
26.12.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
3
L
05.12.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Cardiff MET
1
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
31.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
11.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Flint Town United
0
4
L
04.10.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
3
L
23.09.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Briton Ferry
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
The New Saints
0
6
L
25.08.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Penybont
0
2
L
16.08.25
Pre
llanelli AFC
Caernarfon Town
1
6
L
H2H away: llanelli AFC
18.04.26
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
6
0
L
26.12.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
L
13.12.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
0
2
W
27.12.19
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
4
1
L

Standings

Cymru Premier
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 59:19 40 53
W W W L W
2 22 14 5 3 48:25 23 47
D L D W W
3 22 11 5 6 36:31 5 38
W W L L D
4 22 9 7 6 44:32 12 34
W W L L L
5 22 7 9 6 33:25 8 30
L L W D W
6 22 8 6 8 29:25 4 30
L D L D W
7 22 6 10 6 33:36 -3 28
D L W W L
8 22 6 7 9 32:40 -8 25
W W L D W
9 22 6 6 10 30:39 -9 24
L W W W W
10 22 6 5 11 19:30 -11 23
L W L W D
11 22 5 6 11 34:48 -14 21
D L L D D
12 22 2 2 18 12:59 -47 8
L L W L L
Championship round
Relegation Round