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14.11.2026 15:00
Victoria Park

Hartlepool vs Wealdstone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.6%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.65 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.84 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hartlepool Win 42.6%
Draw 28.1%
Wealdstone Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartlepool1.38
Wealdstone1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hartlepool Hartlepool
L L W L W
10 GF / 12 GA
Wealdstone Wealdstone
L W L W W
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hartlepool Hartlepool 22 matches
Wealdstone Wealdstone 24 matches
Hartlepool Statistic Wealdstone
9 Wins 10
0 Draws 3
13 Losses 11
28 Goals For 34
37 Goals Against 37
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
11 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 1.5
0 Total Shots 5
0 Corners 2.5
0% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wealdstone. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wealdstone having the stronger overall control.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool sit 21 with 15 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 18:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wealdstone Analysis

Wealdstone approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 18 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 23:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 3 times, Wealdstone won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Hartlepool's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.9%)
Predicted formations: Hartlepool - / Wealdstone 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Hartlepool wins 3, draws 4, Wealdstone wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 2 0 44:17 27 44
W W W W W
2 16 10 2 4 34:23 11 32
D L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 38:27 11 29
L D D W W
4 16 9 2 5 30:24 6 29
W W L W L
5 16 8 4 4 35:20 15 28
L W L W W
6 16 8 4 4 32:25 7 28
L D W W W
7 16 9 1 6 24:24 0 28
L D W W L
8 16 7 5 4 32:23 9 26
W W W D W
9 15 7 4 4 26:19 7 25
D W W W W
10 16 7 3 6 28:20 8 24
W L D W W
11 16 7 3 6 20:21 -1 24
W W L L D
12 16 6 3 7 25:24 1 21
W L W L W
13 16 5 6 5 17:16 1 21
L D L D D
14 16 6 3 7 19:19 0 21
W L L L L
15 16 7 0 9 18:26 -8 21
L L L W L
16 14 5 4 5 23:24 -1 19
D W L D D
17 16 5 4 7 19:25 -6 19
D L W L L
18 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
W L W L L
19 16 5 3 8 21:29 -8 18
W W L L L
20 15 5 2 8 25:32 -7 17
L W L W W
21 16 5 0 11 18:27 -9 15
L L W W L
22 16 4 1 11 19:40 -21 13
W W L L L
23 15 3 1 11 19:30 -11 10
L L L L L
24 15 1 1 13 9:34 -25 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation