ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
21.04.2026 18:45
Victoria Park
Hartlepool
Match Timeline
Southend
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
A. Dallas
Southend
🟨
30'
J. Gubbins
Southend
⚽
31'
T. Sinclair · Assist: J. Miley
Hartlepool
🔄
46'
C. John ↔ T. Parkes
Hartlepool
🔄
46'
G. Scott-Morriss ↔ S. Austin
Southend
⚽
47'
A. Reid · Assist: A. Campbell
Hartlepool
🟨
55'
H. Taylor
Southend
🔄
58'
A. Campbell ↔ J. Smith-Sway
Hartlepool
⚽
63'
T. Sinclair
Hartlepool
🔄
64'
J. Gubbins ↔ J. Bridge
Southend
🔄
64'
T. Hopper ↔ H. Cardwell
Southend
⚽
71'
J. Miley · Assist: J. Smith-Sway
Hartlepool
🔄
75'
A. Dallas ↔ C. Kendall
Southend
🔄
75'
L. Chambers-Parillon ↔ O. Coker
Southend
⚽
78'
S. Austin
Southend
🔄
79'
R. McNally ↔ V. Oliver
Hartlepool
🔄
79'
A. Reid ↔ C. Caton
Hartlepool
🔄
79'
J. Miley ↔ B. Walker
Hartlepool
⚽
85'
C. Kendall · Assist: H. Cardwell
Southend

Hartlepool vs Southend Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
52%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hartlepool Win 22.4%
Draw 13.6%
Southend Win 64%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartlepool1.03
Southend1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WWDLW
52 GF / 59 GA
Southend Southend
WLDWL
95 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
21
BTTS Yes
27
19
Over 2.5
27
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hartlepool Hartlepool 47 matches
Southend Southend 51 matches
Hartlepool Statistic Southend
17 Wins 28
15 Draws 12
15 Losses 11
52 Goals For 95
59 Goals Against 47
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
21 BTTS Yes 27
32 Over 1.5 41
19 Over 2.5 27
10 Over 3.5 12
17 Clean Sheets 19
16 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Southend's more proactive style and Hartlepool's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. Southend look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool are currently 9 in the standings with 65 points from 44 matches. The record of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 47:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Reid (11 goals), A. Campbell (5 goals), J. Francis (4 goals), with creative support from M. Daly (5 assists), J. Francis (4 assists), J. Miley (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Southend Analysis

Southend sit 6 with 78 points after 44 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 70:40 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Dallas (16 goals), G. Scott-Morriss (15 goals), S. Spasov (7 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (9 assists), O. Coker (7 assists), S. Austin (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 2 times, Southend won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Hartlepool's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Hartlepool wins 2, draws 5, Southend wins 3

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation