Hartlepool vs Southend Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
64%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.5%
|
- |
Hartlepool
Southend
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hartlepool
47 matches
Southend
51 matches
| Hartlepool | Statistic | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 28 |
| 15 | Draws | 12 |
| 15 | Losses | 11 |
| 52 | Goals For | 95 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Southend's more proactive style and Hartlepool's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. Southend look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Hartlepool are currently 9 in the standings with 65 points from 44 matches. The record of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 47:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Reid (11 goals), A. Campbell (5 goals), J. Francis (4 goals), with creative support from M. Daly (5 assists), J. Francis (4 assists), J. Miley (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Southend sit 6 with 78 points after 44 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 70:40 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Dallas (16 goals), G. Scott-Morriss (15 goals), S. Spasov (7 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (9 assists), O. Coker (7 assists), S. Austin (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 2 times, Southend won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Hartlepool's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Southend
Away
|
46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Hartlepool
Home
|
46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|