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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hartlepool
FT
3 - 1
Carlisle
Victoria Park
Hartlepool
Match Timeline
Carlisle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
T. Sinclair · Assist: T. Parkes
Hartlepool
🟨
14'
H. Macadam
Carlisle
⚽
46'
A. Reid · Assist: M. Daly
Hartlepool
🔄
53'
D. Ajiboye ↔ G. Kelly
Carlisle
🔄
53'
C. Conn-Clarke ↔ R. Linney
Carlisle
🟨
59'
H. Macadam
Carlisle
🟥
59'
H. Macadam
Carlisle
🟨
68'
J. Ellis
Carlisle
🟨
71'
T. Sinclair
Hartlepool
🔄
72'
J. Miley ↔ G. Holohan
Hartlepool
🔄
72'
M. Daly ↔ A. Campbell
Hartlepool
🔄
72'
A. Reid ↔ S. Folarin
Hartlepool
🔄
76'
T. Sinclair ↔ C. Okike
Hartlepool
⚽
77'
C. Okike
Hartlepool
⚽
80'
G. Kelly · Assist: M. Feeney
Carlisle
🔄
82'
J. Ellis ↔ T. Thomas
Carlisle
🔄
82'
B. Mugabi ↔ H. Parker
Carlisle
🔄
90+2'
N. Sheron ↔ V. Oliver
Hartlepool

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Hartlepool Win 0%
Draw 0%
Carlisle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartlepool1.21
Carlisle1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WWDLW
42 GF / 42 GA
Carlisle Carlisle
WLDWL
72 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
18
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hartlepool Hartlepool 36 matches
Carlisle Carlisle 38 matches
Hartlepool Statistic Carlisle
12 Wins 24
13 Draws 5
11 Losses 9
42 Goals For 72
42 Goals Against 48
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
18 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 32
14 Over 2.5 23
7 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 3
0 Total Shots 6
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 21%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 2 times, Carlisle won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:33 from Hartlepool's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

H2H summary: Hartlepool wins 2, draws 4, Carlisle wins 9

Lineups

Carlisle
Formation
Hartlepool
G. Breeze
G. Breeze
J. Ellis
↓
J. Ellis
B. Mugabi
↓
B. Mugabi
M. Feeney
🎯
M. Feeney
R. Galvin
R. Galvin
H. Macadam
H. Macadam
A. Gilliead
A. Gilliead
D. Ajiboye
↓
D. Ajiboye
S. Wearne
S. Wearne
C. Conn-Clarke
↓
C. Conn-Clarke
L. Armstrong
L. Armstrong
N. Hayes
N. Hayes
J. Benn
J. Benn
M. Kouogun
M. Kouogun
T. Parkes
🎯
T. Parkes
C. John
C. John
N. Sheron
↓
N. Sheron
J. Hunter
J. Hunter
J. Miley
↓
J. Miley
M. Daly
🎯 ↓
M. Daly
T. Sinclair
⚽ ↓
T. Sinclair
A. Reid
⚽ ↓
A. Reid
Carlisle 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
18
J. Ellis
↓ 82' 🟨 68'
26
B. Mugabi
↓ 82'
5
M. Feeney
🎯 80'
12
R. Galvin
37
H. Macadam
🟨 14' 🟨 59' 🟥 59'
20
A. Gilliead
7
D. Ajiboye
↓ 53'
16
S. Wearne
38
C. Conn-Clarke
↓ 53'
29
L. Armstrong
Substitutes
13
A. Mair
3
C. Harper
4
T. Thomas
↑ 82'
9
G. Kelly
⚽ 80' ↑ 53'
10
R. Linney
↑ 53'
23
C. Wyke
30
H. Parker
↑ 82'
Hartlepool 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
N. Hayes
2
J. Benn
5
M. Kouogun
4
T. Parkes
🎯 12'
3
C. John
14
N. Sheron
↓ 90+2'
15
J. Hunter
18
J. Miley
↓ 72'
28
M. Daly
🎯 46' ↓ 72'
37
T. Sinclair
⚽ 12' ↓ 76' 🟨 71'
19
A. Reid
⚽ 46' ↓ 72'
Substitutes
40
A. Smith
7
G. Holohan
↑ 72'
9
D. Johnson
10
A. Campbell
↑ 72'
17
S. Folarin
↑ 72'
27
V. Oliver
↑ 90+2'
39
C. Okike
⚽ 77' ↑ 76'
Last matches: Hartlepool
08.08.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Barrow
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Grimsby
0
3
L
21.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Hebburn Town
3
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Spennymoor Town
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Redcar Athletic
4
2
W
25.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boston United
1
3
L
21.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Southend
4
3
W
18.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
0
0
D
31.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
0
7
L
25.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
3
2
W
21.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
4
3
W
11.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
York
2
3
L
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
H2H: Hartlepool vs Carlisle
25.02.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
W
01.10.25
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
L
24.01.23
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
L
08.10.22
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
3
L
18.01.22
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
0
0
D
31.08.21
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
3
D
28.08.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
1
W
14.04.17
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
1
D
15.10.16
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
2
L
05.04.16
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
0
L
29.08.15
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
3
L
02.05.15
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
3
D
04.10.14
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
0
3
L
26.12.12
H2H
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
0
L
08.09.12
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
2
L
Last matches: Hartlepool
08.08.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Barrow
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Fleetwood Town
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Grimsby
0
3
L
21.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Southend
4
3
W
18.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
1
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
31.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
0
3
L
20.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Gateshead
2
1
W
17.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Altrincham
1
0
W
26.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
1
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Hartlepool
Anstey Nomads
1
2
L
06.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Yeovil Town
0
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
3
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
1
1
D
25.10.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
2
0
W
14.10.25
FA
Hartlepool
Gainsborough Trinity
1
3
L
H2H at home: Hartlepool
25.02.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
W
08.10.22
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
3
L
28.08.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
1
W
14.04.17
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
1
D
29.08.15
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
3
L
04.10.14
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
0
3
L
08.09.12
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
2
L
Last matches: Carlisle
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
1
L
17.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
10.01.26
FA
Carlisle
Chatham Town
0
1
L
26.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
3
0
W
21.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Harborough Town
2
1
W
07.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Blackpool
1
4
L
22.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
2
1
W
08.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Carlisle
Reading
3
2
W
H2H away: Carlisle
25.02.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
L
08.10.22
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
3
W
28.08.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
1
L
14.04.17
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
1
D
29.08.15
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
2
3
W
04.10.14
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
0
3
W
08.09.12
H2H
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
2
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
York
46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2
Rochdale
46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3
Carlisle Away
46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4
Boreham Wood
46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5
Scunthorpe
46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6
Southend
46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7
Forest Green
46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8
FC Halifax Town
46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9
Hartlepool Home
46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10
Woking
46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11
Tamworth
46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12
Boston United
46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13
Altrincham
46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14
Solihull Moors
46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15
Wealdstone
46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16
Yeovil Town
46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17
Eastleigh
46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18
Gateshead
46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19
Sutton Utd
46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20
Aldershot Town
46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21
Brackley Town
46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22
Morecambe
46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23
Braintree
46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24
Truro City
46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation