ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
18.04.2026 14:00
Exercise Stadium
Referee: M. Coy
Harrogate Town
Match Timeline
Colchester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
27'
E. Iandolo ↔ K. Vincent-Young
Colchester
🟨
35'
Mason Bennett
Harrogate Town
🟨
46'
Jack Evans
Harrogate Town
🟨
48'
Thomas Hill
Harrogate Town
🔄
55'
L. Sutton ↔ T. Brenan
Harrogate Town
🔄
55'
T. Hill ↔ S. Duke-McKenna
Harrogate Town
🔄
55'
M. Bennett ↔ E. Acquah
Harrogate Town
🔄
65'
O. Edwards ↔ K. Lisbie
Colchester
🔄
66'
J. Payne ↔ R. Akachukwu
Colchester
🔄
66'
W. Goodwin ↔ S. Tovide
Colchester
🔄
70'
C. Heffernan ↔ L. Gibson
Harrogate Town
🟨
76'
Tobias Brenan
Harrogate Town
🔄
77'
H. Anderson ↔ J. Williams
Colchester
🟨
87'
Kyreece Lisbie
Colchester
90'
J. Slater · Assist: L. Gibson
Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 16.3%
Draw 10.7%
Colchester Win 72.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town0.95
Colchester1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
37 GF / 69 GA
Colchester Colchester
WLDWL
60 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
20
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
16
3.28
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 44 matches
Colchester Colchester 44 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic Colchester
8 Wins 17
9 Draws 12
27 Losses 15
37 Goals For 60
69 Goals Against 49
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
20 BTTS Yes 23
31 Over 1.5 31
17 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 11
18 Failed To Score 13
3.28 Shots On Goal 4.16
11.19 Total Shots 12.44
4.37 Corners 4.7
47.5% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colchester's more proactive style and Harrogate Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Colchester carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 63 points while Harrogate Town sit 24 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colchester. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Harrogate Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Harrogate Town sit 24 with 33 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 26 defeats with a 35:66 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Muldoon (5 goals), S. Duke-McKenna (5 goals), E. Taylor (4 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (5 assists), Jack Evans (3 assists), B. Morris (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colchester Analysis

Colchester are currently 12 in the standings with 63 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, while the 56:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Payne (13 goals), K. Lisbie (11 goals), Harry Anderson (10 goals), with creative support from J. Payne (6 assists), S. Tovide (5 assists), K. Lisbie (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Ben Perry unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 5 times, Colchester won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Harrogate Town 4-2-3-1 / Colchester 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Harrogate Town 0, Colchester 1
H2H summary: Harrogate Town wins 5, draws 1, Colchester wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation