Harrogate Town vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.1%
|
- |
Harrogate Town
Colchester
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Harrogate Town
44 matches
Colchester
44 matches
| Harrogate Town | Statistic | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 27 | Losses | 15 |
| 37 | Goals For | 60 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 11.19 | Total Shots | 12.44 |
| 4.37 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colchester's more proactive style and Harrogate Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Colchester carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 63 points while Harrogate Town sit 24 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colchester. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Harrogate Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Harrogate Town sit 24 with 33 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 26 defeats with a 35:66 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Muldoon (5 goals), S. Duke-McKenna (5 goals), E. Taylor (4 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (5 assists), Jack Evans (3 assists), B. Morris (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Colchester are currently 12 in the standings with 63 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, while the 56:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Payne (13 goals), K. Lisbie (11 goals), Harry Anderson (10 goals), with creative support from J. Payne (6 assists), S. Tovide (5 assists), K. Lisbie (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Ben Perry unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 5 times, Colchester won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Colchester
Away
|
46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 |
Harrogate Town
Home
|
46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|