ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
15.09.2026 18:45
Exercise Stadium

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
2.03
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.50
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 61.3%
Draw 4.4%
AFC Fylde Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town1.98
AFC Fylde1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
27 GF / 15 GA
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
WLDWL
27 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 12 matches
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 14 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic AFC Fylde
9 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 5
27 Goals For 27
15 Goals Against 22
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AFC Fylde. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Fylde having the stronger overall control.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Harrogate Town approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

AFC Fylde Analysis

AFC Fylde are currently 6 in the standings with 11 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 13:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 1 times, AFC Fylde won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Harrogate Town wins 1, draws 2, AFC Fylde wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation