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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 18:30
Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Referee: Felix Prigan, Germany
Hannover 96
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Husseyn Chakroun
Hannover 96
VAR
9'
Husseyn Chakroun
Hannover 96
🟨
17'
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
Hannover 96
⚽
45+1'
Abdoulie Ceesay · Assist: Louis Oppie
FC St. Pauli
⚽
48'
Husseyn Chakroun
Hannover 96
🔄
62'
Youssoupha Niang ↔ Martijn Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🔄
62'
Mathias Rasmussen ↔ Samuel Klein
FC St. Pauli
🔄
68'
Kolja Oudenne ↔ Benedikt Pichler
Hannover 96
🔄
75'
Husseyn Chakroun ↔ Hayate Matsuda
Hannover 96
🔄
78'
Marcel Hartel ↔ Bastian Allgeier
Hannover 96
🔄
85'
Abdoulie Ceesay ↔ Ricky-Jade Jones
FC St. Pauli
🔄
86'
Connor Metcalfe ↔ Branimir Hrgota
FC St. Pauli
🟨
90+2'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
🔄
90+4'
Ricky-Jade Jones ↔ Taichi Hara
FC St. Pauli

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.5%
2.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hannover 96 Win 50.5%
Draw 13.5%
FC St. Pauli Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hannover 961.73
FC St. Pauli1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hannover 96 Hannover 96
WWDLW
30 GF / 13 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
5
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
9
5.43
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hannover 96 Hannover 96 15 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 15 matches
Hannover 96 Statistic FC St. Pauli
10 Wins 6
1 Draws 7
4 Losses 2
30 Goals For 29
13 Goals Against 20
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
5 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
5.43 Shots On Goal 5.14
16.14 Total Shots 14
5.29 Corners 6
52% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hannover 96 expected to line up in 3-3-1-3 and FC St. Pauli in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC St. Pauli having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC St. Pauli.

Hannover 96 Analysis

So far, Hannover 96 have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 7 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Gindorf (3 goals), M. Hartel (2 goals), M. Neubauer (1 goals), with creative support from K. Oudenne (2 assists), F. Roggow (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC St. Pauli Analysis

FC St. Pauli are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hara (2 goals), M. Kaars (2 goals), Abdoulie Ceesay (2 goals), with creative support from A. Pyrka (2 assists), T. Hara (1 assists), D. Nemeth (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hannover 96 won 7 times, FC St. Pauli won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Hannover 96's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Hannover 96 3-3-1-3 / FC St. Pauli 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Hannover 96 wins 7, draws 3, FC St. Pauli wins 5

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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