GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
17.05.2026 13:30
Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Referee: D. Schlager
Hannover 96
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Boris Tomiak
Hannover 96
🟨
17'
Mustapha Bundu
Hannover 96
25'
M. A. Zoma · Assist: J. Fernandez
1. FC Nürnberg
30'
K. Oudenne · Assist: W. Taibi
Hannover 96
VAR
45+4'
Daisuke Yokota
Hannover 96
45'
W. Taibi · Assist: M. Bundu
Hannover 96
47'
M. A. Zoma · Assist: J. Justvan
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
49'
Tom Baack
1. FC Nürnberg
51'
L. Lochoshvili
Hannover 96
🔄
58'
B. Tomiak ↔ I. Okon
Hannover 96
🔄
59'
R. Lubach ↔ R. Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
63'
Fabio Gruber
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
66'
K. Oudenne ↔ W. Kokolo
Hannover 96
🔄
76'
M. Nawrocki ↔ V. Ghita
Hannover 96
🔄
76'
M. Bundu ↔ E. Saad
Hannover 96
🔄
76'
T. Baack ↔ M. Soldic
1. FC Nürnberg
83'
L. Lochoshvili · Assist: B. Yilmaz
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
87'
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
Hannover 96
🔄
87'
B. Yilmaz ↔ E. Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
88'
J. Justvan ↔ P. Scobel
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
90+8'
Rabby Nzingoula
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
90+6'
Finn Ole Becker
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
90+3'
Javier Fernandez
1. FC Nürnberg

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hannover 96 Win 64.2%
Draw 4.3%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hannover 961.55
1. FC Nürnberg1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hannover 96 Hannover 96
WWDLW
57 GF / 41 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WLDWL
44 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
21
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
17
5.24
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 matches
Hannover 96 Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
16 Wins 12
11 Draws 9
6 Losses 12
57 Goals For 44
41 Goals Against 42
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
21 BTTS Yes 20
28 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 9
5.24 Shots On Goal 4.48
13.7 Total Shots 12.76
6.15 Corners 5.09
56.5% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Nürnberg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hannover 96 expected to line up in 3-3-1-3 and 1. FC Nürnberg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Nürnberg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Hannover 96 Analysis

Placed 3 with 59 points from 33 outings, Hannover 96 continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, while the 57:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Kallman (14 goals), D. Yokota (5 goals), Mustapha Bundu (4 goals), with creative support from N. Aseko-Nkili (5 assists), D. Yokota (4 assists), Mustapha Bundu (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1. FC Nürnberg Analysis

So far, 1. FC Nürnberg have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 45 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 44:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. A. Zoma (12 goals), J. Justvan (7 goals), R. Lubach (6 goals), with creative support from J. Justvan (7 assists), Berkay Yılmaz (6 assists), M. A. Zoma (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hannover 96 won 7 times, 1. FC Nürnberg won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:19 from Hannover 96's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Hannover 96 3-3-1-3 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hannover 96 wins 7, draws 4, 1. FC Nürnberg wins 4

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga